How will the divestiture affect Nordson's revenue guidance and profit margins in upcoming quarters?
Fundamentals
The divestiture removes a lowâmargin, volumeâdriven contractâmanufacturing chunk of Nordsonâs MEDICAL business and leaves the company with a âpureâplayâ on its $800âŻmillion proprietaryâcomponents franchise (balloons, cannulas, nitinol devices, Atrionâderived products, etc.). In practice this means:
Topâline: Q4â23 and FYâŻ2024 guidance will likely be trimmed modestly because the contractâmanufacturing lines still generated revenue. Management has already flagged that the remaining portfolio is âhigherâvalue growth opportunities,â indicating that the reduction in revenue is expected to be offset by stronger pricing power and incremental sales from the proprietary product set. Expect aâŻ5â8âŻ% downward revision to the total segmentâs revenue runârate, but aâŻflatterâtoâslightlyâupward trajectory for the âcoreâMEDICALâ segment because of the $800âŻM focus.
Margins: Proprietary medical components carry gross margins that are 3â4âŻppt higher than the contractâmanufacturing business. Stripping out the lowâmargin line should lift Nordsonâs consolidated gross margin by roughly 1.5â2âŻppt in Q1â24 and subsequently; operating margin is also set to improve as SG&A is now allocated to a smaller, higherâreturn portfolio. Bottomâline earnings per share (EPS) should therefore stay levelâtoâincrease despite the modest revenue decline, giving the company a more âmarginârichâ profile for the next two quarters.
Market & Technical Context
The stock has been trading in a $140â$155 range since the start of the year, with the last session carving a shallow 1â2âŻ% gap up on the divestiture newsâreflecting optimism about margin expansion. The breakout above the $150 resistance line on volume could signal a shortâterm pullâback opportunity; the $145â$146 support zone holds the downside. Relativeâstrength indicators are still positive, and the MACD is turning bullish, suggesting the price can test the $155â$160 upside as the market prices in the improved profitability outlook.
Actionable Takeâaway
The divestiture is a qualityâoverâquantity play: revenue will be modestly lower, but the margin uplift should keep earnings at least flat and possibly ahead of prior estimates. For traders, the current pullâback to the $145â$148 band offers a buyâonâdip with an upside target around $155â$160 (ââŻ5â7âŻ% from current levels), aligning the trade with the anticipated marginâdriven earnings tailwinds over the next two quarters. Conversely, a breach below $140 would warrant a defensive tilt, as the price may have already priced in the margin premium.