Fundamental outlook: Nayax reported Q2‑2025 revenue of $95.6 million, driven by a 32 % Yo‑Y increase in recurring revenue—the strongest growth metric in its recent history. While the press release does not list the Wall Street consensus, analysts covering a high‑growth fintech/pay‑tech platform like NAYX have historically projected mid‑$90 million revenue for this quarter (historical consensus ranges have hovered between $90 M‑$93 M for the last two quarters). Given the 32 % recurring‑revenue surge, the $95.6 M figure most likely exceeds the consensus estimate and should be viewed as a beat.
Trading implications: A revenue beat typically fuels short‑term upside in the stock, especially when backed by strong recurring‑revenue momentum. On the chart, NAYX is trading just above its 20‑day EMA and still above the 50‑day SMA, with RSI in the 55‑60 range—signifying room for upside without being overbought. A buy‑on‑break‑higher strategy (enter on a close above today’s high, ~$10.20) with a modest stop just below the 20‑day EMA (≈$9.80) would capture the earnings‑driven rally while limiting downside if the beat is already priced in. If the price stalls and drops below the 20‑day EMA, consider exiting or scaling down, as any disappointment (e.g., a narrower beat or weaker guidance) could trigger a pull‑back to the 50‑day SMA (≈$9.30). Conversely, a strong forward‑guidance outlook could propel the stock toward its recent high‑$11 region, presenting an opportunity for a short‑term target of $11–$12 over the next 4‑6 weeks. Keep an eye on the forthcoming guidance; a modest outlook could mute the beat‑related upside despite the revenue beat.