How might this news influence the stock's valuation multiples (P/E, EV/EBITDA) and investor sentiment?
Valuation impact â The Q2 netâincome of BRLâŻ445âŻm signals a strong earnings rebound after the integration of the Avon brands (WaveâŻ2) and a more disciplined workingâcapital regime. Because EBITDA is expected to rise from the higherâmargin, moreâmature LatinâAmerican markets and the upcoming sale of Avon International should generate a sizeable oneâtime cash influx, analysts will likely upgrade the earnings outlook. The immediate effect will be a rise in the priceâtoâearnings (P/E) multiple as the market prices in higher forward earnings and a tighter earningsâmultiple discount relative to peers. Simultaneously, the cash proceeds from the Avon divestiture will reduce net debt, shrinking enterprise value (EV) while EBITDA improves, so EV/EBITDA will likely tighten (i.e., move lower), reflecting a more efficient capital structure. The net result is a higher equity valuation (higher P/E, lower EV/EBITDA) that reflects both the operational upside and the balanceâsheet deârisking from the divestiture.
Investor sentiment & trading implications â The sentiment score of 60 (moderately positive) aligns with a bullish bias. The market is likely to reward the âvisibilityâ gain from the planned Avon sale, prompting a shortâterm price rally on the news, especially if the share breaks above its recent consolidation range (e.g., above the 50âday moving average). Traders can consider longâbiased entry around current levels, targeting the next resistance band (e.g., the prior high of the last 3 months) while keeping a stopâloss below the recent low or the 20âday EMA. On the downside, any delays in the Avon transaction or a miss on the integration cost savings could reverse sentiment, so monitor the companyâs divestiture timeline and any subsequent guidance revisions for risk management. Overall, the earnings beat and strategic divestiture make the stock attractive for a mediumâterm buy with a target of 5â7% upside on a 2â3âŻweek horizon, pending confirmation from volumeâdriven price action.