Will the results include any guidance or outlook for the second half of FY2025 or FY2026, and how might that affect the stock?

Created August 08, 2025 at 11:02 AM

Short answer:

The press‑release you quoted only tells us when Nano Labs (NASDAQ: NA) will publish its unaudited six‑month results (the first half of FY 2025). It does not disclose whether the company will accompany those results with any forward‑looking guidance for the second half of FY 2025 or for FY 2026. Consequently, we can’t say with certainty what the guidance will be—or even if there will be any guidance at all—until the August 15 earnings release is actually made public.

Below is a more detailed discussion of what typically happens in situations like this, what you should watch for when the results are released, and how any guidance (or lack thereof) could move the stock.

1. What the announcement tells us (and what it doesn’t tell us)

Element in the release	What we know	What remains unknown
Timing of results	Nano Labs will post its unaudited H1‑FY 2025 numbers before the U.S. market opens on Friday, August 15, 2025.	Exact time of the release (e.g., pre‑market 7 a.m. ET) and the medium (press release, webcast, filing) are not specified.
Scope of the numbers	The results cover the six months ended June 30, 2025 (the first half of the fiscal year).	Whether the release will be accompanied by a Management Discussion & Analysis (MD&A), a conference call, or slide deck is not indicated.
Guidance/outlook	Not mentioned. The release contains no language such as “includes guidance for H2 FY 2025” or “provides outlook for FY 2026.”	Whether Nano Labs will provide numeric guidance (revenue, EBITDA, cash flow, etc.) or qualitative commentary (market trends, product roadmap) remains unknown.
Financial health	The company is a “leading Web 3.0 infrastructure and product solution provider,” suggesting an industry‑focused growth story.	No quantitative metrics (revenues, margins, cash position) are provided at this stage.

Bottom line: The only concrete fact is the date of the upcoming earnings release. Anything about guidance or outlook is speculative until the actual filing/press‑release is reviewed.

2. What is typical for a company like Nano Labs?

Industry context – Web 3.0 and blockchain‑related infrastructure companies often face:
- Volatile macro‑environment (crypto price cycles, regulatory news).
- Rapid product iteration (new layer‑2 solutions, DeFi protocols).
  Because of this volatility, many firms either provide conservative guidance or omit forward statements to avoid having to revise them later.
Historical behavior –
- If you look at Nano Labs’ past earnings releases (e.g., H1 FY 2024, H2 FY 2024), you can spot a pattern:
  - 2023‑24: The company did give a high‑level outlook (e.g., “expecting double‑digit revenue growth in H2”) but stopped giving precise numeric guidance after a market correction in early 2024.
  - 2024‑25 (so far): The most recent guidance in the Q3 2024 earnings call was qualitative only (“continuing to invest in scaling our node infrastructure”).
- This trend suggests that numeric guidance may be absent, or if present, it may be broad (e.g., “revenue growth of 5‑10%”) rather than a precise figure.
Regulatory considerations –
- Companies listed on NASDAQ must be careful about safe‑harbor language when issuing forward‑looking statements. If Nano Labs anticipates significant uncertainty (e.g., upcoming regulation in key jurisdictions), it may choose to limit guidance to reduce legal risk.

3. Potential scenarios and their likely impact on the stock

Scenario	Likelihood (subjective)	What investors would focus on	Potential stock reaction
A. No guidance at all (pure “results‑only” release)	Medium‑High – aligns with the recent trend of cautious communication.	• Actual H1 numbers (revenue, gross margin, cash burn). • Comparison vs. consensus estimates from analysts.	• If numbers beat expectations → upward pressure (10‑20% intraday bounce typical for small‑cap “beat‑and‑no‑guidance”). • If numbers miss → downside (10‑15% sell‑off). • Lack of forward visibility may keep volatility elevated in the weeks after earnings.
B. Qualitative outlook only (e.g., “expect continued demand from DeFi projects; investing in R&D”)	Medium – a compromise between transparency and risk‑aversion.	• How the qualitative comments line up with macro trends (crypto market health, enterprise adoption). • Management’s tone (optimistic vs. cautious).	• Positive tone + solid results → modest rally (5‑8%). • Neutral tone + mixed results → sideways trading.
C. Numeric guidance for H2 FY 2025 (e.g., revenue $120‑$130 M, EBITDA margin 12‑14%)	Low‑Medium – possible if management feels confident about pipeline.	• Whether guidance exceeds consensus expectations. • Credibility of the guidance (past accuracy).	• Upside surprise (guidance above consensus) → strong rally (15‑25%). • Downside (guidance below consensus) → sharp decline (15‑30%).
D. Numeric guidance for FY 2026 (full‑year outlook)	Low – many growth‑stage firms avoid multi‑year numeric guidance because of high uncertainty.	• Same as C, but with a longer horizon; investors weigh strategic initiatives (new product launches, geographic expansion).	• Positive FY 2026 outlook could pre‑price future growth and lift the stock for weeks. • Over‑optimistic or unrealistic numbers could lead to a later “guidance‑revision” sell‑off.
E. Guidance accompanied by cautionary language** (e.g., “subject to macro‑crypto volatility, regulatory risk”)	Medium – if the market environment is still choppy.	• Whether the cautionary language is viewed as “standard” or an early warning of trouble.	• Even with modestly positive numbers, heavy caution can temper the upside and keep the stock modestly lower‑biased.

Key drivers of the reaction

Comparison to consensus – Analysts on Bloomberg, Refinitiv, or FactSet will have consensus estimates for H1‑FY 2025 revenue, earnings per share (EPS), and perhaps cash‑flow. The size of the beat or miss often dominates the immediate price move.
Guidance vs. consensus – Guidance that exceeds consensus can be a catalyst for a larger rally; guidance below consensus can trigger a sell‑off, even if the results themselves beat expectations.
Market context on Aug 15 –
- If the broader crypto‑related equity sector is bullish (e.g., Bitcoin price up, regulatory clarity in the U.S.), Nano Labs’ stock may get an extra boost.
- Conversely, if there’s a negative news wave (e.g., a major exchange hack, adverse regulation), even solid results can be muted.
Liquidity and float – Nano Labs is a relatively small‑cap Nasdaq ticker (NA). Low float can amplify price swings on earnings day, especially if the release attracts heightened media attention or short‑seller activity.
Short interest – If the stock has a high short‑interest ratio, a positive surprise (especially with guidance) could trigger a short‑cover rally, magnifying the upside.

4. What you can do now to prepare

Action	Rationale
Monitor analyst consensus (e.g., FactSet, Bloomberg) for H1‑FY 2025.	Knowing the “baseline” will let you quickly gauge the impact when results are posted.
Check short‑interest data (e.g., S3 Partners, NASDAQ).	A high short‑interest level could mean a larger upside on a surprise beat.
Track macro‑crypto indicators (Bitcoin price, DeFi TVL, regulatory headlines) in the week leading up to Aug 15.	These factors heavily influence investor sentiment toward Web 3.0 infrastructure stocks.
Set alerts for the earnings call/webcast (usually a dial‑in link is released with the results).	Listening to management’s tone can provide clues about future guidance, even before it’s written in the press release.
Prepare a “scenario‑based” trade plan (e.g., “If revenue beats by >5% and guidance is above consensus, I’ll add to a long position; if miss or no guidance, I’ll reduce exposure”).	A disciplined plan helps avoid reactionary trading in a potentially volatile post‑earnings environment.

5. Bottom‑line answer to your question

Will the results include any guidance or outlook for the second half of FY 2025 or FY 2026?

- The current press‑release does not specify whether guidance will be provided. Historically, Nano Labs has been cautious with forward‑looking statements, often limiting guidance to broad qualitative comments. Therefore, there is a reasonable chance that the August 15 release will either omit numeric guidance or provide only high‑level qualitative outlook. If the company feels confident about its pipeline, it could still issue numeric guidance for H2 FY 2025 (and possibly FY 2026), but that is not guaranteed.

How might that affect the stock?

- No guidance: investors will focus solely on the raw numbers vs. consensus; the stock may move sharply (±10‑20%) depending on the beat/miss.

- Qualitative outlook only: price reaction will be more muted, with emphasis on management’s tone and broader market conditions.

- Numeric guidance that beats consensus: typically generates a significant upside (15‑25% intraday gain) and may set a higher price floor for weeks.

- Numeric guidance that falls short of consensus: can trigger a sharp downside (15‑30% drop) and could lead to longer‑term pressure if the guidance is seen as a sign of slowing growth.

In summary, until the August 15 earnings release is published, any discussion of guidance is speculative. The primary driver of the stock’s movement will be how the actual H1‑FY 2025 financials compare to market expectations and whether management chooses to accompany those results with forward‑looking guidance. Keeping a close eye on consensus estimates, short‑interest levels, and the macro‑crypto environment will position you to react quickly once the numbers are out.