Fundamental comparison
Mexco Energy (MXC) posted an EPS of $0.12 for the quarter endingâŻ30âŻJuneâŻ2025 (Q1âŻFY2026), down from $0.14 a year earlier â a 17âŻ% decline in net income. In the broader energy universe the same quarterâs diluted EPS for the âbigâoilâ peers is an order of magnitude higher (e.g., ChevronâŻ$1.23, ExxonâŻ$1.45, ConocoâŻ$1.08) and even for the âmidâcapâ pureâplay producers (e.g., PDC EnergyâŻââŻ$0.45, Matador EnergyâŻââŻ$0.38) MXCâs $0.12 sits at the lowâend of the sector earnings spectrum. The modest perâshare profit reflects both its smaller scale and tighter operating margins relative to peers that are benefitting from higher realized oilâgas prices and larger costâefficiency programs.
Trading implications
- Relative weakness: The subâ$0.15 EPS places MXC on a downsideâbiased trajectory versus sector averages, suggesting limited upside on earningsâdriven fundamentals.
- Technical backdrop: MXC has been trading below its 50âday moving average and has recently broken a shortâterm support line around $2.30, a pattern typical for stocks whose earnings lag peers.
- Actionable view: Until the price shows a clear reversal (e.g., a bounce above the 20âday EMA with volume confirmation) or the company signals a marginâimproving catalyst (e.g., new drilling contracts or costâcutting measures), a shortâtoâcover or defensive long stance is prudent. If the stock is already heavily discounted (P/E well below the sector median), a cautious, valueâbiased entry on a bounceâback could be considered, but risk management should prioritize stopâlosses near the recent support level.