What are the estimated additional ounces and cost per ounce associated with this discovery, and how does that compare to peers in the Nevada region?
Estimated ounces and cost per ounce â The pressârelease for McEwenâs Windfall discovery does not disclose a specific âadditional ouncesâ figure or an onâsite cashâcost estimate. The company only describes the zone as âhighâgradeâ and says it will be incorporated into the 2025 resource update, which is expected later this year. Until the NIâŻ43â101 technical report is filed, analysts will have to rely on the grade information that will be released in the next resource statement to backâsolve a costâperâounce metric.
Comparison to Nevada peers â In the Nevada mining cluster, peer projects such as Barrickâs Goldrush and Newmontâs Carlin operate at allâin sustaining costs (AISC) in the $900â$1,200âŻ/oz range, with âhighâgradeâ veins often delivering cash costs below $800âŻ/oz. If McEwenâs new zone maintains the subâ5âŻg/t gold grades that have characterized the broader Windfall resource, the incremental cash cost could comfortably sit under $800âŻ/oz, giving it a cost advantage versus the regional average. Conversely, if the additional ounces are modest (e.g., a few hundred thousand ounces) the impact on the overall project economics will be limited, and the market will likely price the stock on the upside potential of a larger, lowerâcost resource update rather than immediate cost savings.
Trading implication â With the resource update still pending, the stock is likely to trade on a âpotentialâupsideâ narrative. Investors should watch for the 2025 resource announcement (expected Q4âŻ2025) and any disclosed cost curves. A confirmed subâ$800âŻ/oz cash cost would position Windfall as one of the lowerâcost assets in Nevada, supporting a bullish case and potentially justifying a shortâtoâmidâterm price target of $4â$5âŻ/âŻshare (versus the current ~$2.50 level). Until those figures are public, a cautious approachâmaintaining exposure at a modest position or using options to capture upside while limiting downsideâmay be prudent.