How will the declared preferred stock dividends affect MorganâŻStanley's overall cost of capital?
Impact on MorganâŻStanleyâs cost of capital
The newlyâdeclared cash dividends on the three outstanding preferredâstock series (A, C and E) raise the firmâs preferredâequity payout rate. In a WACC calculation the cost of preferred capital is simply the dividend yield (âŻD/PâŻ) divided by the net issue price. By issuing a $0.337 perâŻDS on SeriesâŻA, $0.25 perâŻshare on SeriesâŻC and $0.455 perâŻDS on SeriesâŻE, MorganâŻStanleyâs effective preferredâstock cost will move upward proportionally to the current market price of each series. Assuming the market values of the preferred securities remain unchanged, the incremental increase in the preferredâcost component will push the overall WACC higher by a few basis points â roughly 0.05â0.15âŻ% given that preferred capital typically represents a modest share of the capital mix (â5â10âŻ% of total equity).
From a fundamentals perspective, the higher preferredâdividend signals that the firm is using a relatively lowâcost, stable financing tier rather than issuing new senior debt, which can be viewed as a defensive move in a risingâinterestârate environment. However, the added cash outflow reduces free cash flow available for growth projects, slightly tightening the returnâonâcapital hurdle for new investments.
Trading implications
* Shortâterm: The dividend declaration is a neutralâtoâpositive catalyst for the preferred securities themselvesâprices may hold or modestly rise on the âsteadyâincomeâ narrative.
* Equity: The marginal rise in WACC exerts a small downward pressure on the commonâstock valuation, especially for any highâgrowth segments that are sensitive to discountârate changes. Expect a modestâsized, possibly bearish, reaction in the underlying commonâshare price if the market interprets the higher cost of capital as a drag on future earnings.
* Action: Consider a lightâshort position on the common equity if the price is already trading at a premium to fundamentals, or a long stance on the preferred series if you seek a higherâyield, lowâvolatility exposure. Keep an eye on the spread between the preferred dividend yields and the prevailing Treasury curveâif the spread narrows, the preferreds could face price pressure.