What were the key financial metrics (revenue, earnings per share, margins) reported for Q4 and FY 2025, and how do they compare to consensus estimates?
Key Metrics (as disclosed in the release)
Mercury Systemsâ pressârelease for the fourth quarter and fiscalâ2025 period (endedâŻJuneâŻ27âŻ2025) did not include the actual numbers in the brief you provided, so the precise revenue, earningsâperâshare (EPS) and margin figures for Q4 and FYâŻ2025âand the associated consensus estimatesâare not available in the excerpt. The full earnings release (available on Mercuryâs investorârelations site) typically contains:
- Q4 2025: Total revenue, GAAP/NonâGAAP EPS, and operating margin (or adjusted EBITDA margin).
- FYâŻ2025: Fullâyear revenue, EPS, and overall operating margin.
- Consensus Comparison: A sideâbyâside table showing reported results versus analystsâ consensus (e.g., Refinitiv/FactSet) for both topâline and bottomâline metrics.
Trading Implications
Because the specific numbers are missing, traders should first pull the full earnings release to confirm whether Mercury beat or missed the consensus on revenue and EPS and to gauge margin expansion or contraction. If the company posted revenue and EPS above consensus with stable or improving margins, the market typically rewards the stock with a shortâterm upside, especially given the defensive nature of defenseârelated technology stocks. Conversely, a miss on either topâline or EPS, or a compression in margins, can trigger a sellâoff even if the broader sector is strong.
Actionable Steps
1. Check the numbers â Retrieve the full earnings release and compare reported revenue/EPS to consensus (e.g., $XâŻbillion vs. $Xâ$XâŻbillion estimate; EPS $X vs. $X consensus).
2. Assess margin health â A higherâthanâexpected operating margin (or EBITDA margin) often signals pricing power or cost control, which is bullish for the stock.
3. Position based on outcome:
- Beat/beat with expanding margins â Consider a long position, targeting a 5â10% move if volume confirms the move (e.g., breakout above the prior high of $XX with volume >1.5Ă average).
- Miss/miss with margin contraction â Look for shortâterm bearish trades or hedging (e.g., sellâcovered calls or a short position) if the stock trades below its 20âday SMA and RSI is above 70.
In short, obtain the precise figures, compare them to consensus, and let the direction of the earnings surprise drive your entry/exit strategy, keeping an eye on volume and technical support/resistance levels for optimal execution.