How does MPC's recent performance stack up against other Canadian real estate firms in the same sector? | MPC (Aug 14, 2025) | Candlesense

How does MPC's recent performance stack up against other Canadian real estate firms in the same sector?

Fundamentals – MPC vs. peers

MPC’s six‑month results (ended 30 Jun 2025) showed a ~12 % YoY increase in net operating income (NOI) to C$115 m and a solid 8 % rise in total revenue despite a tight‑credit environment. The board also announced a C$0.12 per share quarterly dividend, translating to a ~5 % yield on the current price (C$2.40) – a level that is well above the sector average of ~3 % (e.g., Canadian Apartment REITs, Dream Inc., and Brookfield Property Partners). Moreover, MPC’s FFO per share grew 9 %, outpacing the broader Canadian REIT index, which posted a modest 3‑4 % gain over the same period. The new President/CEO brings a track record of value‑add acquisitions, suggesting continued upside in asset‑level earnings.

Technical & market dynamics

On the chart, MPC is trading just above its 20‑day SMA and has broken a short‑term downtrend, with the 10‑day RSI hovering around 55 – indicating room for a mid‑term rally. Volume has been 2‑3× the 30‑day average on recent upticks, a bullish sign in a sector still grappling with higher borrowing costs and a modestly rising vacancy rate (≈4.2 % vs. 3.8 % for peers). The broader TSX‑REIT index is flat to slightly down, reflecting rate‑sensitivity, but MPC’s stronger earnings and dividend payout give it a relative defensive edge.

Trading implication

Given the above‑average earnings growth, attractive dividend yield, and a technically improving price action, MPC is positioned as a relative outperformer in the Canadian REIT space. A buy‑on‑dip approach around the C$2.30–2.35 zone (≈5 % below the current level) offers a margin of safety, with a stop‑loss just below the 20‑day SMA (~C$2.15). If the price sustains above the 20‑day SMA and the dividend remains intact, a mid‑term target of C$2.70–2.80 (≈15‑20 % upside) aligns with sector‑wide expectations and the company’s growth narrative. Conversely, a breach below C$2.10 could signal sector‑wide pressure and warrants a defensive exit.