Impact on Implied Volatility (IV) and Options Pricing
An earningsârelated conference call normally creates a shortââterm âIV bumpâ as market participants price in the risk of a surprise. For MLSS, the call is scheduled for 08:00âŻET on 15âŻAugâŻ2025, just two days after the press release. In the 24âhour window surrounding the call, the option market will typically widen the bidâask spreads and push the frontâmonth IV up 5â10âŻ% above its 30âday historical average, especially on the outâofâtheâmoney (OTM) strikes where the delta is low and the premium is most sensitive to volatility. This rise in IV inflates the extrinsic value of both calls and puts, making them more expensive to trade.
Trading Implications
- Before the call: If you expect the results to be materially better than consensus (e.g., stronger revenue growth or a new product milestone), a âlongâIVâ playâbuying OTM calls (or puts if youâre hedging) with a delta of ~0.30â0.40âcan capture the anticipated volatility expansion. The higher IV also makes deltaâneutral spreads (e.g., a long call/short call calendar) attractive, as the frontâmonth premium is relatively cheap versus the backâmonth leg.
- After the call: Assuming the results are in line with expectations, IV will contract sharply (a âIV crushâ), eroding the extrinsic value of the same positions. In that scenario, a quickâexit or a deltaâneutral reâbalancing (selling the long leg, buying the short leg) is advisable. If the company surprises to the upside, the postâcall IV may hold, but the price reaction will dominate; a shortâIV position (e.g., selling OTM calls) could be profitable only if the move is modest and the IV drop is pronounced.
Actionable Takeâaway: Anticipate a 5â10âŻ% rise in IV on 14â15âŻAug and position accordinglyâeither buy volatility (long OTM options or calendar spreads) if youâre betting on a positive surprise, or prepare to capture the IV crush with a shortâIV exit strategy once the call concludes and the market digests the actual results. Keep a close eye on the live earnings transcript for any forwardâlooking guidance, as that will be the catalyst that determines whether IV sustains or collapses.