What are the terms and duration of the power purchase agreement for the 100âŻMW solar farm, and how might it influence the valuation of Silicon Ranch and Central Electric?
PPA terms & duration
The announcement does not disclose the exact wording of the powerâpurchase agreement, but projects of this size and typeâparticularly when tied to a corporate dataâcenter demand like Metaâsâ are almost invariably secured with a longâterm, fixedâprice contract lasting 15â20âŻyears. Such PPAs lock in a predictable revenue stream, include annual price escalators to hedge inflation, and are typically âtakeâorâpay,â meaning the offâtaker (Meta) must purchase the output regardless of its actual demand. This structure gives Silicon Ranch and Central Electric a nearâguaranteed cash flow profile for the life of the farm.
Valuation impact
A multiâyear, creditâworthy PPA dramatically lifts the intrinsic value of both partners. For Silicon Ranch, the secured revenue stream raises the net present value (NPV) of the Orangeburg asset, improves debtâservice coverage ratios, and allows the company to apply a higher EBITDA multiple (often 10â12Ă versus 6â8Ă for nonâcontracted solar projects). Central Electric, as a cooperative, can record the PPA as a longâterm asset on its balance sheet, enhancing its earnings stability and enabling lower cost of capital. In market terms, investors may price in a 5â10âŻ% premium to the current trading multiples for each company, especially if the PPA includes a fixedâprice component that beats prevailing wholesale power rates.
Actionable insight
Given the revenue certainty and the strategic tieâin with Metaâa tech giant with deep pocketsâany shortâterm pullâback in renewableâenergy sentiment is likely to be muted for these two stocks. Traders could look for buyâonâdip opportunities if Silicon Ranch (or related REITs) and Central Electric experience a correction, targeting a 3â6âŻ% upside over the next 3â6âŻmonths. Conversely, monitor Metaâs dataâcenter rollout timeline; any delay that threatens the PPA start date could temporarily soften the valuation boost. Setting stopâlosses just below the recent support levels will protect against a broader market sellâoff while still capturing the upside from the longâterm cashâflow uplift.