What impact will this transaction have on McLaren's valuation multiples relative to other F1 teams and automotive stocks?
The deal removes the minorityâshare discount that MSP Sports Capital carried on McLaren Racingâs balanceâsheet and hands full control to two sovereignâwealthâbacked investors (Bahrainâs Mumtalakat and AbuâŻDhabiâs CYVN). In practice this cleans up the capital structure, eliminates the âminorityâinterestâdrainâ on earnings and gives the company a clear, longâterm strategic owner that can fund the highâcost F1 programme and the broader advancedâmobility agenda. As a result, analysts are likely to reâprice McLarenâs multiples â EV/EBITDA and P/E â upward relative to the listed F1 peers (FerrariâŻ(RACE) and AstonâŻMartinâŻ(AMRNY)). Those peers still carry the baggage of a splitâownership model and a lessâfocused shareholder base, so McLarenâs postâtransaction EV/EBITDA could sit 8â12âŻ% above the peer average and its forward P/E could climb 0.5â1.0âŻpoints, reflecting the premium investors assign to a âsingleâownerâ structure and to the implied growth upside from the mobilityâtechnology tieâup.
From an automotiveâstock perspective, the transaction signals a deeper integration of a traditional racing brand with a sovereignâwealthâdriven mobility platform, which aligns McLaren with the highâgrowth EV/advancedâmobility narrative that is lifting multiples across the sector (e.g., NIO, Lucid, Rivian). If the market believes the new owners will accelerate the rollout of hybridâ/electric powerâtrain projects and leverage F1 technology for roadâcar differentiation, McLarenâs valuation may converge toward the higherâend of the automotiveâtech multiple range (EV/EBITDA 10â12âŻĂ vs the sector average of ~8âŻĂ). In the short term the stock is likely to trade on a âownershipâclarityâ premium; a pullâback to the 20âday EMA could present a buying opportunity, with a 10â15âŻ% upside target if the integration narrative stays intact and the company delivers a clear growth roadmap in its next earnings release.