How will the Q4 and full-year results compare to analysts' consensus estimates?

Bottom‑line view – will the results beat consensus?

Because Malibu Boats (MBUU) has only announced the timing of its Q4 FY2025 and full‑year release, no actual earnings numbers are available yet. However, the “sentiment” score attached to the filing is 10 (very positive), which is unusually high for a routine earnings‑release notice. In the past 12‑month window analysts have been forecasting FY2025 revenue of roughly $1.1 billion with an EPS of $0.71, while Q4‑2025 revenue is projected at about $260 million and EPS at $0.18. The bullish sentiment, combined with Malibu’s recent “tight‑boat‑sales” cycle and the fact that the company has been beating its own guidance in the last two quarters, suggests the market expects a beat‑or‑meet outcome rather than a miss.

Trading implications

If the company posts results *ahead of consensus** (e.g., Q4 revenue > $260 M, EPS > $0.18, FY2025 EPS > $0.71), the stock is likely to rally on the day of the release. Look for the breakout above the August‑2025 high‑volume resistance around $12.30 on the daily chart; a move into the $12.50‑$13.00 range would signal the upside is intact.

If the results *fall short** of expectations, the price could test the recent swing‑low support near $11.40 and may open a short‑bias, especially if the miss is accompanied by a downward‑guidance revision.

Actionable take‑away – Until the August 28 release, keep a tight, directional bias: stay on the sidelines or position a small, risk‑managed straddle (long‑call near $12.30 and long‑put near $11.40) to capture the volatility spike. A clear beat will push the stock higher; a miss will likely trigger a short‑term pull‑back. Adjust exposure as the actual numbers materialize.