What is the expected demand and subscription level for the IPO (e.g., oversubscribed, undersubscribed)?
Expected demand & subscription level
Given the modest size of the offering (2.2 million shares for a total gross of US $8.8 million) and the fact that the company will not receive any proceeds from the 550 k shares sold by the existing shareholder, the IPO is positioned as a small‑cap, “fill‑the‑gap” issue rather than a headline‑making transaction. In Singapore’s current IPO climate, mid‑2025 has seen a steady but not exuberant appetite for infrastructure‑related listings, with most deals attracting 1.5–2.0 times oversubscription from institutional investors and a lighter retail queue. Magnitude’s niche in electrical‑installation services—bolstered by the city‑state’s ongoing smart‑city and renewable‑energy projects—adds a sector‑specific catalyst, but the limited float and lack of proceeds to the company keep the upside modest.
Trading implications
- Likely oversubscribed, but not dramatically so – expect a 1.5–2.0× overall subscription (institutional + retail). This level should support a small post‑pricing premium (≈3–5 %) if demand holds, but the upside is capped by the modest capital raise.
- If oversubscription materialises, the secondary‑market price could drift above $4.00 in the first few weeks, presenting a short‑term buying opportunity for traders who can secure allocations in the IPO or snap up the stock on the SGX after listing.
- If demand falls short (undersubscription), the shares could open at or below the $4.00 price, prompting a discounted entry for value‑focused investors. In that scenario, a re‑allocation of the 550 k secondary shares to the market may be used to shore up liquidity, but the limited proceeds to the company mean the long‑run fundamentals remain unchanged.
Actionable take‑away: Anticipate a modestly oversubscribed IPO. Secure any available allocation at $4.00, and consider a light‑to‑medium long position if the stock opens at a small premium. Conversely, be prepared to pick up the dip if the offering is undersubscribed, as the price could trade below $4.00 with limited downside from the company’s balance‑sheet perspective.