When is the settlement expected to be finalized and how might the timing influence the stockâs shortâterm volatility?
When the settlement is likely to be finalized
The notice does not give a precise calendar date, but classâaction settlements of this size are typically completed within 60â90âŻdays of the filing of the notice and are required to be closed no later than the end of the calendar year in which the notice is issued. Given that the filing appeared in earlyâŻ2024, the settlement is therefore expected to be finalized by the end of Q4âŻ2024 (most likely between lateâŻSeptember and earlyâŻDecember 2024).
How the timing could shape shortâterm volatility
As the settlement window narrows, market participants will focus on any updates from the court or the defendants. In the weeks leading up to the anticipated deadline, LSPDâs stock is likely to experience heightened intraday swingsâespecially if rumors surface about the settlement amount or eligibility criteria. A âgoodâ settlement (large cash pool, broad class coverage) typically triggers a shortâterm rally, while a modest or contentious resolution can prompt a rapid unwind of any speculative buying. Technically, the stock is currently trading near its 20âday moving average with modest volume; a break above the recent resistance at $6.50 (if that level holds) could attract momentum traders, whereas a failure to break that level as the deadline approaches may see the price revert to the $5.80â$6.10 range.
Actionable takeâaways
1. Position for the volatility window â Consider a straddle or strangle (e.g., buying ATM calls and puts expiring the month after the expected settlement) to profit from the swing regardless of direction.
2. Watch the calendar â Reduce or hedge exposure a week before the anticipated settlement date if you prefer to avoid the âpostâsettlementâ correction that often follows the initial reaction.
3. Monitor news flow â Any court filing, settlement press release, or classâmember notice will act as a catalyst; a confirmed large payout can justify a shortâterm buyâonâbreakout above $6.50, while a limited payout may warrant a sellâorâtightenâstop near $5.80.
In short, the settlementâs expected closure by late 2024 creates a predictable volatility window; aligning trades to that timeline can capture the price swing while managing downside risk.