What are the key dates and deadlines associated with the lawsuit, and how might they influence market activity around those times?
Key dates & deadlines
- AugustâŻ11âŻ2025 â Public notice of the classâaction filing (the âfiling dateâ). The market already reacted to the press release, and the first wave of priceâadjusting trades typically occurs in the 24âhour window after the filing.
- LateâAugustâŻ2025 (ââŻ30âŻdays after filing) â Deadline for LockheedâŻMartin to file its answer and any motions for early dismissal. A âmotionâtoâdismissâ filing can either truncate the case (if the court sides with the company) or, if denied, confirm that the case will move forward, which often fuels a second bout of volatility.
- EarlyâtoâmidâSeptemberâŻ2025 (ââŻ90âŻdays after filing) â Classâmember claimâsubmission deadline (the âclaimsâcutâoffâ). Once the notice is sent to all eligible shareholders, the clock usually runs 60â90âŻdays; the final day to submit a claim is a focal point for shortâterm trading, as investors who still hold the stock may rush to either lockâin a position or unload before the settlement window opens.
- LateâOctoberâŻ2025 (ââŻ6â9âŻmonths after filing) â Anticipated classâcertification hearing. If the court certifies the class, the case proceeds to the merits stage, which historically adds a âsettlementârisk premiumâ to the stock price and can generate a pronounced swing in both volume and volatility.
Marketâactivity implications
Immediate postâfiling (AugâŻ11â13) â Expect a modest sellâoff as the market prices in the potential liability exposure. The move is usually confined to the âlegalâriskâ discount zone (ââŻ2â3âŻ% below the preâfiling close) and is amplified if the stock is already on a tight technical range. Traders can look for a break of the shortâterm support around the $530â$540 level on the daily chart to confirm the downside bias.
30âday response deadline (lateâAugust) â If LockheedâŻMartin files a robust defensive motion, the stock may rebound on the âdefenseâwinsâ narrative, especially if the motion is dismissed. Conversely, a weak response can trigger a second round of selling. Anticipate a volatility spike; options traders often open straddles or sell âvolatilityâriskâ premium around the $540â$560 range.
Claimsâcutâoff (earlyâmidâSeptember) â This is the âlastâcallâ for investors to decide whether to stay in the stock for a possible settlement or exit. Historically, claimâcutâoff dates generate a shortâterm âpanicâsellâ as marginal holders liquidate, creating a volumeâheavy, downwardâbiased day. A contrarian play is to buy on the dip if the price falls below the $520â$525 support, with a stop just above the $530 resistance, positioning for a rebound once the deadline passes and the settlementâprocess window opens.
Classâcertification hearing (lateâOctober) â The market typically prices in the probability of a settlement or a protracted litigation. If the class is certified, the stock often experiences a âsettlementâpremiumâ rally (5â8âŻ% upside) as the odds of a cashâout rise. If the court denies certification, the downside pressure can resume. Traders should monitor the $560â$580 resistance on the weekly chart; a breakout above it ahead of the hearing can signal a bullish bias, while a failure to break may keep the stock in a defensive posture.
Actionable takeâaways
- Shortâterm: Stay flat or modestly short from AugâŻ11â13; watch for a break of $530 support on the daily chart.
- Midâterm (lateâAugust to earlyâSeptember): Prepare for heightened volatility; consider deltaâneutral options (e.g., straddles) or a âbuyâtheâdipâ if the price slides below $525 with a tight stop at $520.
- Longâterm (lateâOctober): Keep a watchlist for a potential 5â8âŻ% upside if class certification looks likely; a breakout above $560 on the weekly chart could be the trigger for a position, with a stop just below $540.
By aligning trade entries and riskâmanagement around these legal milestones, you can capture the priceâaction that typically accompanies classâaction litigation in a largeâcap defense stock like LockheedâŻMartin.