What specific milestones and timelines does the GreenMet engagement set for advancing the Mojave Critical Minerals Project? | LKY (Aug 26, 2025) | Candlesense

What specific milestones and timelines does the GreenMet engagement set for advancing the Mojave Critical Minerals Project?

Milestones & Timelines set by the GreenMet engagement

GreenMet’s mandate for the Mojave Critical Minerals Project is anchored around a “four‑step” roadmap that the company disclosed in its August 26 press release:

Step Target Milestone Target Date
1. Federal Partnership Development Formalise R&D and financing partnerships with the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and the Department of Interior (DOI) Q4 2025 (end‑year)
2. Regulatory & Permitting Package Submit a Draft Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) and secure the requisite DOI and Cal EPA permits Q2 2026 (mid‑year)
3. Financing & Capital‑Call Close a DOE‑backed “Advanced Critical‑Minerals” loan and raise the equity tranche required to break‑ground Q4 2026 (year‑end)
4. Construction & First‑Production Commence site‑development (civil works, processing plant) and achieve first ore processing (commercial production) Q4 2027 (approximately 18 months after financing)

Trading implications

  • Catalyst‑Driven upside: Each milestone is a discrete market catalyst. Successful completion of the DOE partnership (Q4 2025) could trigger a 5‑8 % rally as investors price‑in secured government backing and a clearer path to scale‑up.
  • Risk nodes: The regulatory window (Q2 2026) is the most material upside‑downside driver. A delay or adverse EIS finding would likely stall the equity raise and push back the production timeline, creating near‑term downside pressure on LKY’s equity (potential 10‑12 % pull‑back).
  • Technical outlook: The stock is currently trading ≈ 30 % above its 12‑month low on the news bump, but volume is thin. A breakout above the $0.85 – $0.90 resistance band would confirm bullish sentiment, while a breach below the $0.70 support line could signal the market is pricing in regulatory headwinds.

Actionable take‑away: Keep the Q4 2025 DOE partnership announcement on the radar as a primary entry trigger; meanwhile, maintain a defensive stop just below the $0.70 support level to hedge against possible EIS‑related setbacks in early‑2026.