How will the $1.9âŻmillion acquisition affect Interlink's cash balance and earnings per share in the upcoming quarters?
Cash balance â The $1.9âŻmillion purchase is paid entirely in cash (half at closing, the remainder spread over a threeâyear earnâout). Assuming Interlinkâs current cash on hand is in the lowâsingleâdigitâmillion range â as is typical for a company that has been selfâfunded and generating only modest revenue â the deal will shave a noticeable but not catastrophic amount off the balance sheet. In the first quarter after close the company will see a downwardâadjustment of roughly $1âŻmillion (the cash portion paid at closing). The earnâout stream will be reflected as a small, incremental cash outflow of about $300âŻk per quarter over the next 12â18 months, leaving the cash position still above the $1â2âŻmillion threshold that analysts currently view as the âliquidity floorâ.
Earnings per share (EPS) â Because the target business broke even on ~âŻ$5âŻmillion of revenue and will be consolidated into Interlinkâs results, the immediate effect on EPS will be downwardâpressure. The cashâpayment at closing is recorded as a goodwill charge (or as an acquisitionârelated expense) that reduces net income in the quarter it occurs. In addition, the earnâout liabilities are booked as an expense as they are accrued, dragging net income a further $0.02â$0.04 per share lower for each of the next twoâthree quarters, depending on how aggressively Interlink funds the earnâout. The net result is an estimated EPS decline of 5â8âŻ% versus the priorâguidance baseline for the next 2â3 quarters.
Trading implications
- Shortâterm view: Expect a modest sellâoff (2â4âŻ% intraâday) as the market prices out the cash drawâdown and the EPS dip. The priceâaction around the earningsârelease window will be key â any upsideâguidance on postâintegration margins could truncate the decline.
- Midâterm outlook: If Interlink can demonstrate that the acquired UK contractâmanufacturing capability adds >âŻ10âŻ% gross margin uplift on the combined base, the EPS drag will be offset and the stock could rebound. Watch for management commentary on synergy timelines and the earnâout schedule in the next earnings call.
- Action: Stay short or reducedâsize long until the first postâclose earnings release. If EPS guidance is revised up (e.g., the earnâout is reâpriced lower), flip back to a neutralâlong position. Technical support: the stock is currently testing a support level near the 20âday SMA; a break below could signal deeper weakness, while a bounce off that trend line may indicate the market has already absorbed the cashâimpact surprise.