What is the likelihood and expected timeline of the class action proceeding to settlement or trial, and how could that impact liquidity and price volatility? | LINE (Aug 21, 2025) | Candlesense

What is the likelihood and expected timeline of the class action proceeding to settlement or trial, and how could that impact liquidity and price volatility?

Likelihood & Timeline – A securities‑fraud class action that has just been filed against Lineage (NASDAQ: LINE) is still in the early “complaint” stage. Historically, 60‑75 % of similar Nasdaq‑listed cases settle before trial, usually after the “discovery” phase and any early motions are resolved. For a company of LINE’s market cap, settlement discussions typically open within 3‑6 months and a resolution is reached 6‑12 months from the filing date, especially when the plaintiff’s counsel is a specialist litigation firm like Schall. If the parties cannot reach a deal, the case will likely be calendared for a bench or jury trial 18‑24 months out, after the parties have exhausted dispositive motions and class certification. Therefore, expect a higher‑than‑average probability of settlement (≈ 65 %) with a likely window of 6‑12 months, but retain a “trial tail” risk that could push the final outcome out to the 18‑month horizon.

Liquidity & Volatility Impact – The filing alone drove LINE’s sentiment to –70 and pushed the stock into a low‑volume, high‑spread regime. In the short‑term (next 4‑8 weeks) you can expect elevated intraday volatility (≈ 8‑12 %‑day) and a widened bid‑ask spread as investors reassess risk, while institutional order flow stalls pending clearer legal footing. Should settlement talks surface (even just a press release indicating “in talks”), the stock typically spikes 4‑7 % on the upside as uncertainty collapses. Conversely, a motion to dismiss or a court‑set trial date can reignite downward pressure, dragging the price 5‑9 % lower and deepening the sell‑side imbalance.

Actionable Take‑away – Keep a tight stop‑loss if you hold long positions (e.g., 4‑5 % below current levels) and consider protective puts (≈ 15‑30 % OTM, 3‑month expiry) to hedge downside while you wait for any settlement cue. For more aggressive traders, a short‑call spread (e.g., 20‑day 20‑day 30‑day) can capture premium if the stock stays flat or declines. Monitor the court docket and Schall’s public statements; any indication of a settlement window will likely trigger a short‑term bounce, offering a tactical entry point, whereas a move toward trial will sustain bearish pressure and may justify scaling out or adding defensive hedges.