When and how will the cash used for redemption be sourced, and does it imply any liquidity strain or upcoming asset sales?
Cash source and timing
The earlyâredemption can be executed only afterâŻ30âŻSeptâŻ2025 and, after the ECB granted its consent onâŻ11âŻAugâŻ2025, the recordâdate and paymentâdate will be set by LHV in line with the bond prospectus â typically a few weeks after the notice is issued. The redemption payment will be made from LHVâs liquid capital, most likely drawn from retained earnings or the Tierâ2 capital buffer that the group has already built up to meet regulatory requirements. Because the amount represents a relatively modest share of the groupâs total Tierâ2 liabilities, LHV does not need to raise external funding or liquidate significant assets to meet the cash outflow.
Liquidity and assetâsale implications
LHVâs announcement does not signal a liquidity strain. The redemption is a scheduled, consented exercise of a contractual right, not a forced payout driven by cashâshortness. The group has a history of maintaining robust capital ratios, and the earlyâredemption actually reduces its regulatory capital charge rather than expanding it. Consequently, there is no expectation of largeâscale asset disposals or a need to tap the market for shortâterm funding. The cash outflow is covered by internal resources, and the balance sheet impact will be a modest decline in Tierâ2 liabilities with a corresponding reduction in cash â a routine capitalâmanagement move.
Trading implications
* Bond price drift: As the redemption date approaches, the bond will trade at a premium to its 10âyr yield to reflect the expectation of a cashâpayâout. Once the recordâdate is announced, holders will start pricing in the imminent payout; a shortârun price uplift is typical.
* Positioning: If you hold the LHV Tierâ2 subordinated bonds, consider selling before the recordâdate to lock in the uplift and avoid being forced to roll over a nowâredeemed exposure. Conversely, a shortâterm long can be justified if you anticipate a âbuyâtheâdipâ after the bond is redeemed and the premium disappears.
* Credit spread: The redemption improves LHVâs balanceâsheet risk profile, likely tightening its credit spreads on other issued debt. Monitor the impact on LHVâs senior Euroâbonds and the broader Estonian banking sector â a modest spread narrowing could present a relativeâvalue entry point.
In short, the cash for the redemption will be sourced from LHVâs existing liquid capital, the move is routine capital management, and it does not foreshadow liquidity stress or forced asset sales. Traders can focus on the shortârun price dynamics around the recordâdate and the downstream creditâspread tightening for related LHV securities.