How does Lazardâs AUM growth rate compare to peers such as BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley?
Lazardâs AUM growth versus the âbigâthreeâ peers
Lazardâs Julyâ31 AUM of $253.7âŻbn represents a â2.2âŻ% monthâoverâmonth increase (net inflowsâŻ$4.5âŻbnâŻ+âŻmarket appreciationâŻ$3.9âŻbnâŻââŻFX depreciationâŻ$3.2âŻbnâŻââŻ$5.2âŻbn on a Juneâ30 base of $238.2âŻbn). If that pace were sustained, it translates into a midâ20âŻ% annual growth rateâwell above the modest 5â6âŻ% YoY growth that BlackRock (â$10âŻtn AUM) has been posting, and comfortably higher than the 3â4âŻ% range for GoldmanâŻSachsâŻAsset Management (â$1.8âŻtn) and the 2â3âŻ% range for MorganâŻStanleyâŻInvestment Management (â$1.5âŻtn). In other words, Lazard is expanding faster on a percentage basis, even though the absolute size of its AUM is an order of magnitude smaller than the peers.
Market dynamics & trading implications
The outâofâline growth is driven by a solid netâinflow pipeline (â$4.5âŻbn in a single month) and a favorable equity rally that added another $3.9âŻbn of appreciation. The FX drag is modest and largely a balanceâsheet accounting effect, not a fundamental weakness. For a boutique firm, such a flowâheavy month signals that investors are still seeking differentiated, boutiqueâstyle advisory and assetâmanagement solutionsâespecially in the âmidâmarketâ segment where Lazard is most visible. By contrast, the larger houses are largely dependent on scaleâdriven inflows and are more exposed to macroâwide outflows in riskâoff environments.
Actionable takeâaway
- Longâbias on Lazard (LAZ) â the stock has already priced in the absolute AUM size, but the percentageâgrowth narrative is still underâappreciated. A pullâback in price (e.g., a 5â10âŻ% dip) could present a lowârisk entry as the firm continues to capture boutique inflows.
- Monitor inflow sustainability â if net inflows stay above $4âŻbn per month, the 20âŻ%+ YoY growth trajectory is credible; a slowdown would quickly bring the growth back toward the 5â6âŻ% range of BlackRock and could cap upside.
- Relativeâstrength positioning â while BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley remain the âsafeâhavenâ megaâcaps, Lazardâs higher growth rate makes it a highâbeta, highâconviction play in a riskâon environment. Consider a modest allocation (5â7âŻ% of a discretionary equity basket) with a stopâloss around 8âŻ% to protect against a sudden macroâshift that could reverse boutique inflows.