Fundamental outlook
KRTâs 23âŻ% YoY Q2 revenue jump was driven largely by âstrong streaming performance,â underscoring that the company still captures a growing share of the onâdemand video pie. If consumers continue to migrate away from linear TV and toward flexible, adâsupported (AVOD) or lowâprice subscription (SVOD) models, KRT can monetize that shift through higher CPMs, longer userâsession times and incremental licensing fees. Conversely, a slowdown in discretionary spend, a resurgence of âsubscription fatigue,â or a rapid migration to competing platforms (e.g., TikTok, YouTube Shorts) could compress ARPU and throttle the streaming tailâwinds that have powered the last five quarters of growth. The key driver will be the mix of adârevenues versus subscription feesâan increasing adâbudget share would boost margin upside, while a heavy reliance on subscription could expose KRT to churn risk if priceâsensitivity rises.
Technical & trading implications
On the chart, KRT has broken above its 200âday moving average and is testing a resistance zone near the recent high of $1.45, with volume accelerating on each rallyâsigns of bullish momentum that often accompany a sustained streamingâdriven rally. A pullâback to the 50âday EMA (~$1.30) could offer a lowerâârisk entry for a âbuyâtheâdipâ play, especially if the next earnings release reiterates streaming growth and outlines concrete adârevenue targets. Conversely, a breach below $1.20 (the prior swing low) would signal that consumer streaming demand may be waning, prompting a defensive exit or a shortâposition with a stop just above $1.25.
Actionable takeâaway
Monitor two leading leadingâindicators: (1) monthly active users (MAU) and average viewâtime trends from KRTâs streaming platform, and (2) adâsellâthrough rates in the broader digitalâmedia market. If MAU growth remains >5âŻ% MoM and adâsellâthrough holds steady, the upside to $1.55â$1.60 in the next 3â6âŻmonths is plausible, supporting a long bias. If either metric stalls, the price could revert to the $1.20â$1.25 range, warranting a tighter stop or a shortâside hedge.