Short answer:
The press release does not contain an explicit forwardâlooking statement about the expected absorption of fixed production costs in the next quarters. It only explains why absorption was weaker in Q2âŻ2025 and in the first half of 2025.
What the release tells us
Item | What was reported | Why it mattered |
---|---|---|
Q2âŻ2025 results | Net loss of $9.2âŻM (â$0.08 per share) vs. net profit of $19.5âŻM (+$0.17 per share) in Q2âŻ2024. | The loss was primarily driven by lower production volumes, which meant the company could not absorb as much of its fixed production costs. |
Sixâmonth (H1) 2025 results | Net income of $8.9âŻM ($0.08/share) vs. $27.6âŻM ($0.24/share) in H1âŻ2024. | The decline was attributed to higher unabsorbed fixed costs caused by operating plants at reduced capacity and higher distribution/warehousing costs tied to a growing finishedâgoods inventory. |
Key takeâaways:
- Fixedâcost absorption is a costâstructure issue: The companyâs profitability is very sensitive to how much of its fixed manufacturing overhead can be spread over the units it produces.
- Reduced production volumes â lower absorption: When the plants run below optimal capacity, a larger share of fixed costs remains âunabsorbedâ (i.e., not covered by revenue), dragging earnings down.
- Inventory buildup amplifies the problem: Higher finishedâgoods inventory forces the company to hold more products without the corresponding sales needed to spread fixed costs, further inflating unabsorbed costs.
How to infer the nearâterm outlook
Even though the release does not give a direct forecast, we can deduce the companyâs likely strategic focus for the upcoming quarters:
Increase production utilization
Rationale: The narrative repeatedly points to âoperating our production facilities at reduced ratesâ as a root cause. Management will almost certainly aim to raise run rates (e.g., by securing more customer orders, optimizing scheduling, or possibly adding shifts) to bring the plant utilization closer to capacity, which would improve cost absorption.Control inventory levels
Rationale: âHigher distribution and warehousing costs resulting from an increase in finished goods inventoryâ were highlighted as a contributor to higher unabsorbed costs. Reducing inventory (through better demand forecasting, sales promotions, or tighter supplyâchain coordination) would lower warehousing expenses and help align production with sales, again improving absorption.Potential pricing or productâmix adjustments
While not expressly mentioned, companies facing underâabsorbed fixed costs sometimes try to shift to higherâmargin products or adjust pricing to better cover overhead. This may be part of the broader turnaround plan.Costâmanagement initiatives
The company may look at discretionary cost cuts (e.g., SG&A, logistics) to offset the impact of any residual unabsorbed fixed costs while it works on volume recovery.
Possible scenarios for the next quarters
Scenario | Production utilization | Inventory trend | Fixedâcost absorption | Expected impact on earnings |
---|---|---|---|---|
Optimistic â Management successfully ramps production + trims inventory | â to 80â85âŻ% of capacity (from current lower level) | â (steady drawâdown) | Significant improvement (most fixed overhead now absorbed) | Return to profitability or at least a markedly reduced loss |
Moderate â Slight volume increase but inventory remains elevated | modest â (ââŻ70âŻ% capacity) | flat or slowly declining | Partial improvement; some fixed costs still unabsorbed | Smaller loss or breakâeven, but not full profit recovery |
Pessimistic â Volume stays low, inventory continues to rise | unchanged or further down | â (worsening inventory) | Absorption remains poor or deteriorates | Continued or deeper losses |
Given the explicit admission that the current loss stems from âlower production volumesâ and âhigher unabsorbed fixed costs,â it is reasonable to assume that the companyâs internal outlook is cautiously optimistic that steps will be taken to improve utilization. However, without a formal guidance statement, we cannot assign a concrete quantitative expectation (e.g., âabsorption will improve by X%â).
Bottom line for the question
- Explicit outlook: None is provided in the news release.
- Implied outlook: The company is likely to focus on increasing production volumes and reducing finishedâgoods inventory in order to improve the absorption of its fixed production costs in the upcoming quarters. The success of those actions will determine whether earnings swing back toward profit or remain modestly negative.
If you need a more precise forwardâlooking statement (e.g., managementâs formal guidance on utilization percentages or expected absorption ratios), you would have to look for a separate earningsâcall transcript, investor presentation, or a followâup release where management explicitly addresses future costâabsorption expectations.