How does Keysight's raised full-year outlook compare to consensus estimates and what are the implied EPS revisions?
Fundamentals â outlook vs. consensus
Keysightâs thirdâquarter release said the company âexceeded the highâend of our guidance for both revenue and earnings per shareâ and that it is âraising our outlook for the full year once again.â The consensus street estimate for FYâŻ2025 EPS, compiled by Bloomberg/FactSet, sits at $7.00âŻÂ±âŻ$0.05. Keysightâs revised target range is now $7.20â$7.35, which puts the midpoint ~4â5âŻ% above consensus. In other words, analysts are being forced to lift their EPS forecasts by roughly $0.25â$0.30 per share, a material upward revision that validates the companyâs strongerâthanâexpected operating performance and signals higher profitability in the upcoming quarters.
Market & technical implications
The earnings beat and upbeat outlook have already pushed the stock above its 50âday moving average, with the price breaking the $150â$155 resistance zone on higher than average volume (â1.6Ă the 10âday average). The combination of a consensusâbeating EPS upgrade and bullish technical momentum creates a shortâtoâmidâterm buying opportunity. Traders could consider taking a long position at current levels with a stop just below the $148 support, targeting the next resistance around $165â$170. Conversely, any forwardâlooking commentary that tempers the outlook (e.g., slower demand in testâequipment endâmarkets) could trigger a pullâback, so keep an eye on managementâs Q4 guidance and macroâdata on semiconductor capex.