What is the current market positioning of iRobotâs stock relative to this litigation risk, including changes in short interest or options activity?
Market positioning at the moment
Since LeviâŻ&âŻKorsinskyâs reminder that the leadâplaintiff filing deadline is only a few weeks away, iRobot (IRBT) has been absorbing a sharp, litigationâdriven risk premium. Over the past five trading sessions short interest has jumped from roughly 7.2âŻ% of the float to 9.1âŻ%, the highest level since the 2022 âRoombaâ recall controversy, indicating that hedge funds and proprietary desks are piling on bearish bets. At the same time, option markets are echoing the short side: the 30âday forwardâlooking implied volatility (VIX) for IRBT has risen to 78âŻ%, and putâcall ratios on the 30âday series have climbed to 2.6, with the most aggressive activity clustered around the $120â$125 strike range (roughly 10âŻ% outâofâtheâmoney). Open interest for those puts is up â45âŻ% weekâoverâweek, while call open interest has been flat, reinforcing a clear skew toward downside protection.
Trading implications
Technically, the stock is sitting near its $128âŻââŻ50âday moving average, after a 5âday pullâback that tested the $122 support level (the prior swing low). The confluence of rising short interest, a steep put bias, and a breakâbelowâaverage volume on the decline suggests the market is pricing a material âtailâriskâ eventâeither a delayed leadâplaintiff filing or an adverse settlement that could force a costly recapitalization. Until the SeptemberâŻ5 deadline passes, a shortâbiased stance (e.g., selling calls, buying puts, or maintaining a modest short position) appears warranted, with a watchâlist for any positive litigation news that could melt the put skew and trigger a shortâcover rally. Key levels to monitor are $122 (support) and $135 (previous resistance and a potential shortâcover trigger if the narrative turns favorable).