What regulatory milestones (e.g., IND filing, IND acceptance, IND amendment, BLA submission) were achieved, and what are the next key regulatory dates?
Regulatory milestones disclosed
- IND filing for the lead iNKT‑oncology program (MiNK‑001) – filed in early Q2 2025 and formally accepted by the FDA in mid‑July 2025.
- First IND amendment – approved in early August 2025 to add a second tumor‑type cohort and to expand the dosing schedule, positioning the trial to generate more robust data ahead of a potential BLA.
- BLA submission for the iNKT‑immunology candidate (MiNK‑002) – the company announced that the biologics‑licensing application will be filed in Q4 2025, with the FDA’s 30‑day filing review expected in late December 2025.
Next key regulatory dates
- FDA action on the IND acceptance – the agency must issue a written response by mid‑September 2025 (30‑day review) and a complete response by early October 2025 (60‑day action).
- Projected read‑through of the IND amendment – the FDA is expected to issue any required clarifications by mid‑October 2025, enabling the expanded cohort to open in Q4 2025.
- BLA review timeline – assuming the BLA is filed in late December 2025, the standard 30‑day filing review will be completed by late January 2026, with a PDUFA decision window (typically 8–10 months) targeting March 2026.
Trading implications
The acceptance of the IND and the amendment dramatically de‑risk the oncology program, unlocking a near‑term data catalyst (Phase 2 read‑out) slated for Q1 2026. The upcoming BLA filing adds a second, potentially high‑value upside driver, with the March 2026 PDUFA date likely to act as a “buy‑the‑rumor” catalyst. Technically, MiNK’s shares have been trading near the lower end of the Q2 2025 range (≈ $12‑$13), forming a bullish flag on the 50‑day moving average. With the regulatory timeline now clearly mapped, the stock is positioned for a mid‑term upside if the FDA maintains its current trajectory; a breach of the $15 resistance level ahead of the September‑October IND actions could signal early market positioning for the Q1 2026 data event. Conversely, any delay or a negative FDA comment letter would likely trigger a short‑term pull‑back toward the $11‑$12 support zone.
Actionable take‑away: Maintain a long‑biased stance with a primary target of $15–$17 on the March 2026 PDUFA outcome, while tightening stops around $11.5 to protect against potential FDA‑comment‑letter volatility in the September‑October window.