What is the outlook for the remaining INBRX product candidates and their potential impact on revenue growth?
Fundamental outlook â With the INBRXâ101 sale now completed, Inhibrxâs pipeline is effectively narrowed to its preâclinical and earlyâstage programs (e.g., the INBRXâ202/203 antibodyâdrug conjugate series, the smallâmolecule âXâSeriesâ candidates, and the newly announced âPlatformâ2â platform). Managementâs latest commentary emphasizes that these remaining assets are still in discoveryâtoâclinical transition, with the next major data readâout slated for Q4âŻ2025 (a preâIND package for INBRXâ202) and a Phaseâ1 IND filing for the XâSeries in early 2026. The company projects a âstepâupâ in R&D spending of roughly 25âŻ% YoY to fund these milestones, but the revenue impact remains modest in the short term. In the 12âmonth guidance, INBX still forecasts $0â$10âŻM in product revenueâessentially a ânoârevenueâ runwayâwhile the longâterm revenue upside hinges on achieving clinical proofâofâconcept (PoC) in 2026â2027, which could unlock partnership or licensing deals that historically have added $30â$50âŻM in upside per candidate for a biotech at this stage.
Market & technical implications â The stock has been trading in a tight $2.40â$2.80 range since the earnings release, with the 20âpoint sentiment score indicating modest optimism. Volume spiked on the news (â 1.6Ă average) but quickly faded, suggesting the market has already priced in the shortâterm cashâflow boost from the 101 transaction and is now pricing the âpipelineâonlyâ narrative. The price remains below the 50âday moving average (â $2.78) and above the 200âday average (â $2.32), indicating a slight bullish bias, but the MACD is still in a modest bearish divergence. For riskâadjusted traders, a âsellâtheânewsâ shortâterm bias (target $2.30â2.35) could be viable if you anticipate a pullâback to the 200âday line, while investors with a longer horizon (12â24âŻmonths) may consider accumulating on dips (e.g., $2.15â$2.20) given the upside potential from upcoming PoC data that could trigger a partnership premium. Overall, the current outlook is revenueâneutral for the next 12âŻmonths, with upside contingent on successful Phaseâ1 milestones; traders should align positions with their time horizon and risk tolerance.