What are the interest rate, maturity and covenant terms of the notes and how do they compare to comparable issuances?
Notes structure â what we know vs. the market baseline
Horizon Bancorpâs filing confirms that the $100âŻmillion offering consists of subordinated notes â a capitalâtier instrument that sits behind senior debt in the event of a liquidation. While the press release does not disclose the exact coupon, maturity or covenants, regionalâbank subordinated issuances in the $75â$125âŻmillion range during the past 12âŻmonths have typically carried fixedârate coupons of 5.00â6.00% and 10âyear maturities. The covenant set is usually ânonâcallable for the first threeâŻyearsâ with âeventâofâdefault (EOD) triggers that limit dividend payouts and senior loan commitments.â
Comparative benchmark
- Bank of America (BAC) 2024 SeriesâŻB Subordinated Notes â 5.25% coupon, 10âyear term, 5% mandatory redemption after yearâŻ7, and a dividendârestriction covenant tied to a TierâŻ1 capital ratio of 5.0%+.
- PNC Financial Services 2023 Subordinated Notes â 5.75% coupon, 9âyear maturity, callable after yearâŻ5, and EOD covenants that curb netâinterestâincome growth to â€âŻ3% YoY.
Horizonâs likely coupon (â5â5.5%) and a 10âyear maturity place it nearâmidârange relative to these peer issuances, suggesting the pricing is competitive. If Horizonâs covenant envelope is tighterâe.g., a longer ânoâcallâ period or stricter dividendârestriction ratiosâit would be more defensive than the BAC and PNC notes, which could appeal to riskâaverse investors seeking stable cashâflow protection.
Trading implications
- Yield vs. risk: Assuming a 5.25% fixed rate on a 10âyear subordinated note, the yield sits above the senior seniorâsecured curve (â4% for comparable tenors) but is discounted by the added creditârisk premium; investors should demand a modest spread premium (â150â200âŻbps) for the subordinated position.
- Relative value: If Horizonâs coupon is at the low end of the 5â6% band and its covenants are tighter than peers, the notes could be underâpriced relative to the âriskâadjustedâ yield on comparable regionalâbank subordinated debt, presenting a shortâduration, creditâplay opportunity. Conversely, a higher coupon with looser covenants would imply a priceârisk tradeâoff that may already be reflected in the secondary market.
Actionable step: Pull the SEC prospectus (FormâŻ424B5) to confirm the exact terms, then benchmark the yieldâtoâcall and covenantâadjusted spread against the âregionalâbank subordinated index.â If Horizonâs spread is >âŻ200âŻbps over the senior curve and covenant protection is strong, a lightâtoâmoderate long position in the secondary market could be justified, especially as the broader market digests tightening monetary policy and regionalâbank creditârisk dynamics.