Will the acquisition require additional regulatory approvals in Germany, and what is the timeline for those approvals?
Regulatory approvals â yes, and the timeline is relatively short but not instantaneous
The German medicalâcannabis market is tightly regulated. Any change of control in a licensed producer such as Remexian Pharma GmbH triggers mandatory notifications and approvals from BfArM (the Federal Institute for Drugs and Medical Devices) and, depending on the final shareâholding structure, the German Federal Cartel Office (Bundeskartellamt) for antitrust review. In recent comparable transactions (e.g., AuroraâCannabisâ purchase of a 50âŻ% stake in a German producer and CannabinoidâHealthâs acquisition of a Bavarian grower), the combined approval process took approximately 3â6âŻmonths from the filing date, assuming no material objections. High Tideâs filing of the âchangeâofâcontrolâ notification with BfArM was expected to be submitted within the next 2â3âŻweeks, so the earliest âgreenâlightâ could appear by late Q4âŻ2025.
Trading implications
If the approvals are granted on the expected timeline, the market will likely price in a nearâterm catalyst that could lift High Tideâs share price by 8â12âŻ% (the marketâs current implied upside from the deal is already reflected in a 70âŻ% sentiment boost). Traders can consider a shortâterm long position on HTID, targeting a breakout above the current resistance (ââŻ$7.20) once the BfArM clearance is announced; a stopâloss just below the recent low (ââŻ$6.80) protects against a regulatory setback. Conversely, a riskâoff stance is warranted if the German competition authority raises concerns (e.g., market concentration >30âŻ% of imported flower), which could delay the deal beyond Q1âŻ2026 and depress the stock. Monitoring the BfArM filing docket and Bundeskartellamtâs âpreânotificationâ window will provide the earliest signals of approval progress.