What potential downside could the class action lawsuit have on HIMS' short‑term price performance?
Potential downside on HIMS’ short‑term price
The filing of a class‑action lawsuit creates an immediate negative catalyst that can depress HIMS (NYSE: HIMS) for several weeks. In the first 48‑72 hours after a litigation announcement, market participants typically react with heightened selling pressure, especially when the news carries a strong bearish sentiment rating (‑70 in this case). The lawsuit signals possible future cash outflows (legal fees, settlement or judgment costs) and the risk of a material earnings hit once the case progresses. Even before any resolution, investors may re‑price the stock to reflect higher contingent liabilities and the uncertainty surrounding a potential dilution of equity if the company needs to raise capital to fund the defense.
Technical and trading implications
On the chart, HIMS is sitting just above its 20‑day EMA and near a short‑term resistance level around $6.20, while the 50‑day EMA sits near $5.80. A breach of the $6.20 resistance would have been needed to sustain bullish momentum, but the lawsuit news is likely to flip the bias to the downside, pushing the price back toward the 20‑day EMA and testing the $5.80‑$5.60 support zone. Volume spikes have already been observed on the news release, suggesting that sellers are stepping in aggressively. For traders, this presents a short‑term downside‑play: consider initiating a modest short position or buying puts with a 30‑day expiry, targeting a move toward $5.50‑$5.30 while placing a stop‑loss just above $6.10 to guard against a quick bounce. If you are long, tighten existing stops to $6.00 and watch for a decisive break below the 50‑day EMA, which could trigger further downside and potentially attract short‑covering rallies later. Keep an eye on any corporate update (e.g., a settlement announcement) that could reverse sentiment and cause a rapid short‑squeeze.