How might the outcome of these lawsuits influence the valuation multiples (e.g., P/E, EV/EBITDA) for Hims & Hers Health?
Impact on valuation multiples
The pending securitiesâclassâaction suits represent a material contingent liability for Hims &âŻHers Health (HIMS). If the leadâplaintiff applications are accepted and the plaintiffs ultimately secure a judgment or settlement, the company will have to record a oneâtime charge that could run into the highâhundreds of thousands of dollars (and potentially more if the case expands). That charge will depress net income and EBITDA in the next reporting period, compressing the P/E and EV/EBITDA ratios until the earnings base recovers. In practice, analysts will likely apply a higher âriskâadjustedâ discount rate to the firmâs cashâflow forecasts, which further widens the spread between HIMSâ current multiples and those of healthier teleâhealth peers.
Conversely, if the lawsuits are dismissed or the leadâplaintiff deadline passes without a filing, the contingent liability evaporates. The market can then reâprice Hims on the basis of its growth trajectoryâhigher projected revenue, expanding margins from new product lines, and a stronger balance sheet. In that scenario the P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples would expand toward the midâ20s (P/E) and 12â15Ă (EV/EBITDA) that comparable âdigital healthâ companies command, reflecting a lower perceived risk premium.
Trading implications
- Shortâbias until the courtâs next filing deadline (AugâŻ25âŻ2025) if you expect a lead plaintiff to be named and the case to move forward. The risk of a sizable nonârecurring charge justifies a defensive position or a stopâlossâprotected short.
- Longâbias if you anticipate the deadline will pass without a lead plaintiffâespecially if the company can demonstrate that the alleged losses are immaterial to its cashâflow. A breakout above the 20âday EMA on the daily chart, coupled with a bounce in volume, could be used as a trigger for a modest long entry, with a stop just below the recent swing low.
Monitor the KSFâFoti communications and any court filings over the next two weeks; a material development will quickly reâprice HIMS and either tighten or expand its valuation multiples.