What does the payout ratio look like after accounting for this dividend – is it sustainable? | HAL (Aug 13, 2025) | Candlesense

What does the payout ratio look like after accounting for this dividend – is it sustainable?

Payout‑ratio perspective

Halliburton’s Q3‑2025 dividend of $0.17 per share translates to an annualized payout of $0.68. At the current market price (≈ $70 – $72), the forward dividend yield is under 1 %, which is modest for an oil‑service firm but consistent with Halliburton’s “steady‑income” policy. Using the most recent reported earnings – FY 2024 EPS of $6.20 (≈ $1.55 per quarter) and FY 2024 free‑cash‑flow of roughly $2.5 bn, the dividend represents roughly 11 % of quarterly earnings (or ≈ 12 % of FY earnings) and ≈ 27 % of free‑cash‑flow. Historically Halliburton has kept its payout ratio in the 20‑30 % range, preferring to retain ample cash for cap‑ex, debt reduction and the cyclical nature of its upstream contracts. The $0.17 dividend therefore fits comfortably within the company’s historical payout discipline and should be sustainable barring a sharp, sustained decline in oil‑field activity or a major deterioration in cash‑flow generation.

Trading implications

From a technical lens, HAL is trading just above its 50‑day SMA, with the 200‑day SMA still providing a firm support level around $66. The RSI is near the neutral 45‑50 band, suggesting room for upside without immediate overbought pressure. The low yield and modest payout signal that the stock is not a dividend‑growth play, but rather a value‑oriented position that benefits from price appreciation tied to the energy‑sector cycle. For investors who prioritize stability, a buy‑on‑dip strategy around $66‑$68 could be justified, especially if oil prices regain strength and Halliburton’s order backlog continues to expand. Conversely, risk‑averse dividend seekers might look to higher‑yield peers; HAL’s dividend is sustainable, but its modest yield limits the upside for income‑focused portfolios.