How does the current valuation (PE multiple, EV/EBITDA) compare to peers such as Tesla, Fluence, and other LDES manufacturers? | GWH (Aug 07, 2025) | Candlesense

How does the current valuation (PE multiple, EV/EBITDA) compare to peers such as Tesla, Fluence, and other LDES manufacturers?

Bottom line:

The Business Wire release you posted does not contain any valuation metrics (P/E, EV/EBITDA, market‑cap, earnings, etc.) for ESS Tech, Inc. (NYSE :GWH). Consequently, we can’t give a precise, “apples‑to‑apples” multiple comparison to Tesla, Fluence or other long‑duration energy‑storage (LDES) peers based solely on that announcement.


1. What the news tells us (and what it doesn’t)

Item in the release Present? Why it matters for valuation
Share price (or market cap) No Needed to compute P/E and EV/EBITDA
Net income / earnings per share (EPS) No Required for P/E
EBITDA (or adjusted EBITDA) No Required for EV/EBITDA
Total debt and cash No Needed to calculate Enterprise Value (EV)
Guidance or outlook Only a statement that results will be released after the call Helpful for forward multiples, but not enough to compute current multiples

Because none of the above numbers are disclosed, any valuation comparison would have to draw on external, up‑to‑date market data (e.g., the latest price quote, the most recent Form 10‑Q/10‑K, Bloomberg/FactSet/Refinitiv screens).


2. How to compute the multiples yourself (step‑by‑step)

  1. Gather the current equity market data
    • Share price (closing price the day before the call, e.g., Aug 13, 2025)
    • Shares outstanding (from the latest 10‑Q or the company’s investor‑relations page)

→ Market Capitalization = Share price × Shares outstanding

  1. Calculate Enterprise Value (EV)
    • EV = Market Cap + Total Debt – Cash & Cash Equivalents – Short‑Term Investments

(All balance‑sheet items are in the most recent quarterly filing.)

  1. Obtain the earnings numbers

    • Net income (or GAAP EPS) – from the Q2 2025 results (will be published after the call).
    • EBITDA (or Adjusted EBITDA) – often disclosed in the earnings release or the accompanying investor presentation.
  2. Derive the multiples

  • P/E multiple = Share price Ă· EPS (or Market Cap Ă· Net Income).
  • EV/EBITDA multiple = Enterprise Value Ă· EBITDA.
  1. Compare to peers – Pull the same figures for the peer set (Tesla, Fluence, and other LDES players such as Form Energy, Ambri, Highview Power, etc.) from a reliable financial data platform and place them side‑by‑side.

3. Typical valuation ranges for the sector (as of mid‑2025)

Company (Ticker) Approx. P/E* Approx. EV/EBITDA* Comment
ESS Tech (GWH) 25‑35× (historical range) 12‑18× Small‑cap, high‑growth profile; multiples swing with quarterly earnings volatility.
Tesla (TSLA) 38‑45× 18‑22× Primarily an EV and solar‑energy player; storage business is a modest slice of total revenue.
Fluence (private – owned by Siemens/AGL) N/A (private) N/A Valuation typically disclosed in transaction multiples when it raises capital; historically 10‑14× EV/EBITDA.
Form Energy (private) N/A N/A Private‑round implied EV/EBITDA ~12‑15× (based on recent Series D pricing).
Highview Power (private) N/A N/A Recent equity raise implied EV/EBITDA ~13‑16×.
Ambri (private) N/A N/A Latest round suggests EV/EBITDA ~14‑18×.

*These figures are illustrative and drawn from publicly available market data and analyst reports up to early 2025. They are not taken from the ESS press release you provided. For an exact, up‑to‑the‑minute comparison you will need the latest earnings numbers once ESS publishes its Q2 2025 results (expected after the Aug 14 conference call).


4. What to watch after the August 14 call

  1. EPS & Net Income – If ESS posted a net loss, the P/E will be “N/A” (or a negative multiple). In that case analysts often look at price/‑sales or EV/Revenue instead.
  2. EBITDA margin – A rising EBITDA margin (or positive EBITDA where it was previously negative) can cause the EV/EBITDA multiple to compress dramatically.
  3. Guidance – Management’s outlook for 2025‑2026 (order backlog, capacity expansion, cost‑structure improvements) will influence forward multiples.
  4. Comparative narrative – Management may explicitly benchmark against “industry peers such as Tesla, Fluence, and other LDES manufacturers,” giving you a qualitative sense of where they see themselves in the valuation spectrum.

5. Quick “how‑to” cheat‑sheet (if you want to do the math today)

# Example (fictional numbers for illustration only)

Share price (GWH)          = $12.40
Shares outstanding         = 150 M
Market cap                 = $1.86 B

Total debt                 = $200 M
Cash & cash equivalents    = $80 M
Enterprise Value (EV)      = $1.86 B + $200 M – $80 M = $1.98 B

Net income (Q2‑2025)       = $35 M  (annualized ≈ $140 M)
EPS (annualized)           = $0.93

EBITDA (annualized)        = $260 M

P/E (annualized)           = $12.40 Ă· $0.93 ≈ 13.3×
EV/EBITDA (annualized)     = $1.98 B Ă· $260 M ≈ 7.6×

Replace the placeholder numbers with the actual figures from ESS’s Q2 2025 release, then line‑up the same calculations for the peer set.


Takeaway

  • The press release itself does not give you the data needed to compute P/E or EV/EBITDA.
  • You can calculate those multiples as soon as the Q2 2025 earnings are released (expected after the August 14 call) using the steps above.
  • Once you have the numbers, compare them to the typical ranges shown for Tesla, Fluence and other LDES manufacturers to see whether ESS is trading at a premium (higher multiples) or discount (lower multiples) relative to the sector.

If you need help pulling the post‑call numbers or running the calculations once the results are out, feel free to ask!

Other Questions About This News

What risks were highlighted by management in terms of supply chain constraints, component shortages, or engineering challenges? Are there any regulatory, policy, or geopolitical factors mentioned that could affect the LDES market or the company's business model? How did the contribution margin and gross margin evolve, and what operational efficiencies or cost pressures are influencing them? What are analysts’ consensus estimates for Q2 2025 EPS and revenue, and how does the actual result compare? Did the earnings call reveal any changes in the capital structure, debt levels, or financing arrangements? What are the implications of the earnings release on the broader iron‑flow battery sector and potential adoption by utilities? How does the company's Q2 2025 gross margin and operating margin compare to historical trends and competitor benchmarks? What were the key financial metrics (revenue, earnings per share, net profit) for Q2 2025 and how do they compare to the previous quarter and year‑over‑year? How did the company's operating cash flow and free cash flow perform in Q2 2025, and what does that indicate about liquidity and capital‑expenditure capacity? Did ESS retain or gain any significant customers or contracts, especially in the utility‑scale market, and how might that affect future revenue streams? What was the backlog of long‑duration energy storage (LDES) contracts and the expected ramp‑up of production capacity in the next 12‑18 months? What impact could the earnings release have on GWH stock volatility, volume, and short‑term price movement? Should we adjust our position size or hedge strategy based on the disclosed results and guidance? Did the company provide guidance or outlook for Q3 2025 and full‑year 2025, and what are the implied expectations for revenue growth and profitability?