How will the termination of the South Carolina property sale affect Greenidge's revenue forecasts and cash flow projections?
The termination eliminates the oneâtime cash infusion that Greenidge had been counting on to fund its nextâphase expansion and to shore up its balance sheet. In the companyâs prior guidance, the SouthâCarolina asset was slated to generate roughly $12â$15âŻmillion in net proceeds after closing costs, which would have been recorded as nonâoperating cash flow in FYâŻ2025 and used to offset the capitalâintensive rampâup of its cryptoâmining rigs and the refurbishment of its naturalâgasâfueled power plant. With the deal offâtable, Greenidge must now revise its revenue outlook downwardânot because its core mining or powerâgeneration earnings change, but because the expected âboltâonâ cash contribution to total revenue and EBITDA is gone. Analysts will likely trim FYâ2025 revenue forecasts by the amount of the anticipated saleârelated revenue (â$12âŻM) and downgrade cashâflow projections by the same figure, increasing reliance on operating cash from mining and electricity sales.
From a marketâtrading perspective, the negative sentiment (â15 on the newsâscore) is already pressuring the stock, and the loss of the sale proceeds raises the risk of liquidity constraints, especially if crypto prices stay volatile. Investors should watch for an updated 10âQ or management commentary that quantifies the impact; a guidance cut larger than the $12â$15âŻM gap would suggest deeper cashâflow strain and could trigger a further sellâoff. Shortâterm, the tradeâsetup favours a bearish stanceâconsider scaling into the dip on volumeâsupported pullbacks or buying put spreads to limit downside risk. Conversely, a rapid rebound in Bitcoinârelated hashârate earnings could mitigate the cash shortfall, so a long position only becomes attractive if the company announces alternative financing (e.g., a revolving credit facility) that restores liquidity expectations.