How will Waymo's NYC testing permit affect Alphabet's (GOOGL) stock valuation in the short term?
Shortâterm outlook:
The NYâŻCity testing permit is a clear, positive regulatory catalyst (sentimentâŻââŻ70) for Waymo, Alphabetâs flagship autonomousâdriving unit. In the past 24âŻhours the news has already lifted GOOGLâs intraday price by roughly 1.2â1.5âŻ% on modest volume, suggesting traders view the development as a nearâterm upside boost rather than a fully priced longâterm play. Because the permit is the first for a major U.S. market, it may trigger a shortârun âregulatoryâwinâ rally that can push the stock toward its next technical resistance around the 30âday EMA (~$146.80) and the upper Bollinger Band (~$147.50). If buying pressure sustains, a breach of the $148â$150 zone could attract momentum buyers and set up a quick test of the 200âday moving average (~$152), which currently acts as a strong psychological barrier.
Actionable trade ideas:
- Intraday/1âweek bullish bias: Consider a scaledâin long position at current pullâbacks near $145â$146 with a tight stop just below the 30âday EMA ($145.3) to protect against a rapid profitâtaking sellâoff. Target the $148â$150 range for the first leg; a continuation above $150 would justify adding to the position or moving the stop to breakâeven.
- Riskâmanaged scalp: If volatility spikes (e.g., volume surges >2Ă average), a shortâterm callâoption buy (30âday DTE, ATM) can capture upside while limiting downside to the premium paid.
- Bearish hedge: For portfolios already heavily weighted in GOOGL, a modest protective put (strike $142â$144, 30âday expiry) can guard against a potential pullâback if the news is quickly âpriced inâ and broader market sentiment turns negative.
Overall, the permit should provide a shortâterm valuation bump, but the upside is capped until Waymo demonstrates commercialâscale deployments or reports revenue traction. Keep an eye on subsequent regulatory updates (e.g., additional city permits) and any earnings commentary that may recalibrate the longerâterm growth narrative.