What remaining regulatory or legal risks could still weigh on the stock despite the recent favorable ruling?
Remaining regulatory/legal tailwinds
Even though the U.S. judge ruled that Google can avoid a structural breakup, the decision does not eliminate the broader antitrust exposure that Alphabet faces. The Department of Justice and the Federal Trade Commission have signaled that they could still pursue behavioral remedies, hefty fines, or a secondâround injunction that forces the company to change its adâtech, searchâranking, or appâstore practices. Moreover, the European Commission, the UK Competition and Markets Authority, and regulators in India, Brazil and South Korea have parallel investigations that can result in separate penalties or forced divestitures. Alphabet is also still contending with a slate of privacyâandâdataâsecurity lawsuits (e.g., the âProject Veritasâ class action, GDPR enforcement actions) and ongoing copyright disputes that could generate multiâhundredâmillionâdollar settlements or new injunctions. Finally, the ruling remains subject to appeal; if higher courts overturn or modify the judgment, the company could be forced back into a breakup scenario or face even stricter curbs.
Trading implications
The preâmarket 6âŻ% pop reflects shortâterm relief, but the riskâadjusted upside is limited until the regulatory cloud clears. Technicals show the stock trading near its 50âday moving average with modest bullish momentum; a pullâback to the lower Bollinger Band or the 20âday EMA could provide a better entry if youâre comfortable with the residual risk. A prudent approach is to lock in a portion of the gain (e.g., sell 25â30âŻ% of the position) and keep the remainder in a tight stopâloss (ââŻ4â5âŻ% below current levels) to protect against a negative regulatory surpriseâsuch as a fresh FTC fine, an EU fine, or an appeal that reâopens the breakup question. Keep a close eye on upcoming filing dates (e.g., the FTCâs âsecond requestâ deadline, EU âremediesâ deadline, and any appellate court calendar) as catalysts that could reignite volatility.