What is the projected adoption rate among CJ4 Gen3 customers for the HDX connectivity option? | GOGO (Aug 12, 2025) | Candlesense

What is the projected adoption rate among CJ4 Gen3 customers for the HDX connectivity option?

Answer: The press release does not disclose a specific adoption percentage for the HDX connectivity option among CJ4 Gen3 customers. Gogo simply notes that the HDX solution is now available as an optional add‑on for every aircraft that will be delivered, but no forecasted uptake rate (e.g., “30 % of customers are expected to select HD‑X”) is provided in the announcement.

Trading implications:

- Fundamentals: Because the adoption rate is unknown, the market cannot yet price in a quantifiable revenue boost from the HDX option. Until Gogo releases a concrete target (or we see early‑order data), the connectivity segment remains a “potential upside” rather than a confirmed driver of earnings.

- Technical view: Gogo’s stock (NASDAQ: GOGO) has been trading near its 2024‑2025 trend line, with the 50‑day moving average around $2.10 and the 200‑day average near $2.05. The lack of a concrete adoption metric means the catalyst is still “open‑ended,” so the price may remain range‑bound until Gogo or Cessna provides concrete uptake numbers.

- Actionable insight: Maintain a neutral‑to‑light‑bullish stance on Gogo. Consider buying on dips if the stock breaks below the 50‑day MA with a view to capture upside when a future update on HDX adoption (e.g., a mid‑2025 earnings call) confirms a meaningful take‑rate. Conversely, a failure to meet a credible adoption target could trigger a downside, so a stop‑loss just above the recent swing high (~$2.30) would protect against that scenario.