Answer
The announcement states that Genmab (GEN) is increasing its capital through the exercise of employee warrants, which creates a batch of newlyâissued shares. In most Europeanâlisted companies, shares issued to employees as part of a warrantâexercise are subject to a standard âlockâupâ (or ârestrictionâperiodâ) that prevents the holders from selling the stock for a limited timeâtypically 30âŻdays to 3âŻmonths after the issuance date. While the release does not spell out the exact length, the market convention for Genmabâs past equityâbased compensation programs has been a 30âday lockâup on the newlyâissued shares, with a possible extension if the companyâs board imposes additional resaleârestrictions.
Trading implications
- Supplyâside pressure: The lockâup means the new shares will stay on the market for at least a month, limiting immediate dilutionâdriven selling. Once the restriction lifts, a modest âunlockââsellâoff could surface, especially if warrant participants are looking to realize gains. Anticipate a potential shortâterm downside around the lockâup expiry date, so a tight stopâloss or a partial position reduction ahead of the expected unlock can be prudent.
- Float and liquidity: The capital increase expands the freeâfloat, which can improve depth and reduce bidâask spreads over the medium term. If the market digests the dilution smoothly, the technical trend may stay intact, and the added liquidity could support a bounce back after the initial sellâpressure subsides.
- Fundamental view: The warrant exercise reflects confidence from insiders in the companyâs upside, which is a positive signal for longâterm fundamentals. However, the shortârun impact will be dominated by the lockâupâdriven supply dynamics rather than the underlying earnings outlook.
Actionable takeâaway: Keep the position modest through the next 30âŻdays, watch for any disclosed exact lockâup date in the filing, and consider trimming or tightening stops a few days before the lockâup expires to avoid the expected sellâoff. If the price holds above the recent support level after the unlock, the added float can be viewed as a net positive for longerâterm upside.