What regulatory approvals or potential risks are associated with the DeepBook and Walrus Trusts?
Regulatory backdrop
Both the DeepBook and Walrus Trusts are new Grayscaleâmanaged structures that must clear the same SEC gate as any other cryptoâlinked fund. The trusts are filed as âgrantâorâdiscretionaryâ trusts, which means they still require SEC ânoâactionâ or âexemptiveâ relief before they can be listed on a U.S. exchange and offered to retail investors. Until the SEC formally grants that relief, the trusts remain unregistered securitiesâa status that limits their distribution to qualified investors only and subjects them to heightened compliance scrutiny. In addition, because the products are tied to underlying digitalâasset holdings, they may be subject to ongoing âinvestmentâcompanyâ ruleâmaking (e.g., the 1940 Act) and to potential future guidance on cryptoâasset custody, valuation and reporting.
Potential risks
- Regulatory lag â Even after the initial filing, the SEC could delay or condition approval, creating a âregulatory bottleneckâ that stalls listing and liquidity. Any adverse comment or a request for additional disclosures can compress the trustâs launch window and compress the marketâs ability to price the product accurately.
- Valuation & audit uncertainty â The trusts rely on thirdâparty pricing of the underlying crypto assets (e.g., DeepBookâs âdeepâliquidityâ index). If the SEC or auditors question the methodology, the trusts could be forced to restate NAVs, triggering price volatility and redemption pressure.
- Tax & custody exposure â Because the trusts hold digital assets indirectly, they inherit the taxâtreatment ambiguities of the crypto market (e.g., potential âconstructive saleâ rules) and the operational risk of custodial partners. A custodial breach or a change in tax policy could materially affect the trustsâ performance and investor sentiment.
Trading implication
Until the SEC formally clears the trusts for public listing, the market will price them at a regulatoryârisk discount relative to comparable Grayscale products (e.g., GBTC). Traders can capture this spread by taking a long position on the trustsâ secondaryâmarket listings (if available) while hedging with short exposure to broader cryptoâindices or GBTC to isolate the regulatory premium. Conversely, a stopâloss should be set near the level where any SEC denial or adverse comment could trigger a sharp NAV correctionâtypically 5â8âŻ% below the current market price. Monitoring SEC filing updates, custodial news, and audit reports will be key to managing the upside versus the regulatoryârisk downside.