How might this financing move influence Fortis's dividend policy and capital allocation strategy? | FTS (Sep 02, 2025) | Candlesense

How might this financing move influence Fortis's dividend policy and capital allocation strategy?

Fortis’s decision to price a tranche of fixed‑to‑fixed‑rate subordinated notes signals that the utility is tapping a relatively cheap, long‑dated source of capital while preserving its senior‑debt capacity. Subordinated notes carry a higher coupon but are “fixed‑to‑fixed,” meaning the interest rate will reset on a set schedule rather than floating with market rates, which helps Fortis lock in predictable financing costs. Because the issuance is senior enough to stay off the balance‑sheet for rating‑agency purposes yet junior enough to avoid crowding out existing senior borrowings, the net effect is a modest increase in leverage that is unlikely to trigger a dividend‑coverage covenant breach.

Given Fortis’s historically generous payout ratio (≈55‑60 % of adjusted earnings) and the fact that the proceeds are most likely earmarked for refinancing higher‑cost debt and modest network‑expansion projects, the dividend policy should remain largely intact in the near term. Management will probably keep the current quarterly payout to sustain its “dividend‑growth” narrative, using the note proceeds to improve the cost‑of‑capital profile rather than to fund new acquisitions that could dilute cash flow. Traders should therefore view the stock as relatively dividend‑stable; any price dip from the issuance can present a buying opportunity, especially if the yield spread on the notes remains attractive relative to peers. Monitor the upcoming earnings release for the “net debt to EBITDA” metric—if leverage stays within target ranges, the dividend may even see a modest uptick in the next fiscal year.