How might this financing move influence Fortis's dividend policy and capital allocation strategy?
Fortisâs decision to price a tranche of fixedâtoâfixedârate subordinated notes signals that the utility is tapping a relatively cheap, longâdated source of capital while preserving its seniorâdebt capacity. Subordinated notes carry a higher coupon but are âfixedâtoâfixed,â meaning the interest rate will reset on a set schedule rather than floating with market rates, which helps Fortis lock in predictable financing costs. Because the issuance is senior enough to stay off the balanceâsheet for ratingâagency purposes yet junior enough to avoid crowding out existing senior borrowings, the net effect is a modest increase in leverage that is unlikely to trigger a dividendâcoverage covenant breach.
Given Fortisâs historically generous payout ratio (â55â60âŻ% of adjusted earnings) and the fact that the proceeds are most likely earmarked for refinancing higherâcost debt and modest networkâexpansion projects, the dividend policy should remain largely intact in the near term. Management will probably keep the current quarterly payout to sustain its âdividendâgrowthâ narrative, using the note proceeds to improve the costâofâcapital profile rather than to fund new acquisitions that could dilute cash flow. Traders should therefore view the stock as relatively dividendâstable; any price dip from the issuance can present a buying opportunity, especially if the yield spread on the notes remains attractive relative to peers. Monitor the upcoming earnings release for the ânet debt to EBITDAâ metricâif leverage stays within target ranges, the dividend may even see a modest uptick in the next fiscal year.