How will the reverse split affect the number of shares outstanding and the companyâs market capitalization?
Effect on Shares Outstanding and Market Capitalization
A 1âforâ7 reverse split means that for every seven existing ordinary shares of Foresight Autonomous Holdings (FRSX) that an investor holds, they will receive one new share. Consequently, the total number of shares outstanding will be reduced to roughly 14âŻ% of the preâsplit count (i.e., divided by seven). Assuming the market values the companyâs equity unchanged at the moment of the split, the total market capitalization (share price Ă shares outstanding) should remain roughly the same immediately after the split. In practice, the market cap can drift slightly up or down due to the âpsychologicalâ effect of a higher perâshare price (often perceived as âmore respectableâ for institutional investors) or the costâofâtrading (higher price can reduce the number of roundâlot orders). However, any change in market cap would be driven by investor sentiment and liquidity, not by the arithmetic of the split itself.
Trading Implications
- Liquidity and priceâlevel: The postâsplit price is expected to be about 7âŻĂ the preâsplit price (e.g., a $3.00 preâsplit price â roughly $21.00 after). This may attract investors who have minimumâprice thresholds for buying (e.g., institutional mandates) and could improve the stockâs eligibility for certain indices or funds that exclude lowâpriced stocks. However, the reduction in share count can also tighten the order book, leading to wider bidâask spreads and higher intraday volatility on the first few trading sessions.
- Technical perspective: Expect a sharp, mechanical price jump on the split date (AugustâŻ24â25) that does not reflect a change in fundamentals. Traders should adjust their charting (e.g., reâscale the yâaxis or use splitâadjusted historical data) to avoid misreading support/resistance levels. The âpriceâjumpâ can trigger stopâlosses or algorithmic thresholds, so be prepared for a brief spike in volume and a possible shortâterm overâreaction.
- Actionable strategy: Consider holding the position through the split if you are a longâterm believer in Foresightâs 3âD perception technology; the reverse split does not dilute ownership. If you are a shortâterm trader, monitor the opening price and earlyâsession volume. A price that settles within 5â10âŻ% of the theoretical 7Ă price suggests a clean split; any deviation larger than that could indicate marketâwide sentiment shifts (e.g., concerns about dilution, upcoming news). Position sizes should be adjusted for the new share count, and stopâloss levels should be recalibrated to the higher price scale. Keep an eye on the postâsplit share floatâif it falls below 10âŻmillion shares, the stock may become more volatile, so a tighter riskâmanagement framework is advisable.