Will the expansion increase capital expenditures and affect the companyâs cash flow guidance?
Impact on Capex and CashâFlow Guidance
The Boston store represents a direct, incremental capital outlayâleaseâhold improvements, fixtures, inventory stocking and local marketingâso it will lift FlyâEâs nearâterm capitalâexpenditure lineâitem. Given the companyâs âexpansionâ classification and the modestâsized retail footprint, the added capex is unlikely to be material relative to FYâ2025â2026 budgets, but it will still be reflected in the quarterly CAPEX rollâforward. Because the new location is already operational, the incremental cashâflow hit should be shortâlived; once sales ramp, the store will begin contributing positive operating cash flow that can partially offset the upfront spend. Analysts should therefore expect the management commentary on cashâflow guidance to be slightly downwardâadjusted for the next quarter (to reflect the buildâout cost) with a quick rebound in the following periods as the Boston market matures.
Trading Implications
On the technical side, FLYE has been trading in a tight range near its 50âday EMA, with the recent news pushing the price above the shortâterm resistance at $9.20 and generating a modest bullish flag on the daily chart. The combination of a positive expansion narrative and an anticipated nearâterm capex drag creates a classic âbuy the dipâ opportunity for riskâtolerant investors: enter on a pullâback to the $9.00â$9.10 support zone, target the $10.00 breakout level (the 200âday EMA), and place a stop just below the $8.80 swing low. For more conservative holders, monitor the upcoming earnings call for any revisions to the cashâflow outlook; a guidance cut would pressure the stock, while a reaffirmation (or upside revision) would validate the expansionâs quick payâoff and support a shortâtoâmidâterm rally.