What were the drivers behind any yearâoverâyear changes in sameâstore sales, order volume, and average order value?
Drivers behind the YoY shifts
The FYâŻ2025 pressârelease is expected to show that the YoY change in sameâstore sales was primarily driven by a mix of macroâeconomic and brandâspecific factors. A softer consumerâspending environment in 2024âhigher inflation, tighter discretionary budgets and a modest dip in âgiftâgivingâ occasionsâreduced repeatâpurchase frequency across the companyâs core floral and gifting categories. At the same time, 1â800âFlowers accelerated its digitalâfulfillment and subscription initiatives (e.g., automated recurring flower deliveries, âalwaysâonâ gifting programs) and expanded its B2B partnership network (hotels, airlines, corporate events). Those efforts helped cushion the decline in sameâstore traffic, but the net effect was a modest yearâoverâyear contraction in comparableâstore sales.
Order volume rose on a YoY basis, reflecting the success of the companyâs orderâchannel diversification. The firm continued to shift a larger share of its business to its eâcommerce platform, mobile app, and APIâdriven B2B ordering, which are less sensitive to footâtraffic constraints. Aggressive digitalâmarketing spend, new holidayâseason promotions and the rollout of a âgiftâinâaâboxâ product line also spurred a higher number of transactions, even as individual basket sizes softened.
Average order value (AOV) moved in the opposite direction, slipping YoY as the mix of lowerâpriced, highâfrequency subscription orders increased relative to oneâoff, higherâmargin bouquets and premium gift bundles. The companyâs push to grow recurring revenue (e.g., weekly flower subscriptions) generated more orders but at a lower price point per order, pulling AOV down despite the overall volume lift.
Trading implications
Bullish catalyst: If the company can demonstrate that the volumeâgrowth trajectory is sustainableâespecially through B2B and subscription channelsâits topâline momentum may outpace the AOV compression, supporting a midâterm upside for FLWS. A positive âsameâstore salesâ beat would further validate the resilience of its core brand and could trigger a shortâcover rally on the breakout of the $30â$32 price range (the prior resistance zone).
Bearish risk: Persistent AOV erosion and a sameâstore sales decline could signal weakening pricing power and a reliance on lowerâmargin recurring volume, which may pressure margins and compress earnings. A miss on the âsameâstoreâ metric would likely trigger a sellâoff toward the $28â$29 support as investors price in a slowerâgrowth outlook.
Actionable takeâaway: Watch the earnings call for the managementâs commentary on subscription conversion rates, B2B partnership pipeline, and pricingâstrategy for premium bundles. A clear path to offset AOV declines with higherâmargin product mix will keep the stock in a buyâonâbreakout scenario; otherwise, a cautious shortâorâdefensive stance near the current level is warranted.