How does this dividend yield compare with other LNG sector peers and could it influence investor allocation?
Dividendâyield comparison
FlexâŻLNGâs announced dividend of USâŻ$0.75âŻper share translates into a ââŻ5âŻ% yield (assuming a recent close around the $15â$16âŻrange that FlexâŻLNG has been trading at on the Oslo exchange).
In the liquefiedânaturalâgas (LNG) space the yield spectrum is very thin:
Company | Recent dividend (p/s) | Approx. share price | Yield |
---|---|---|---|
FlexâŻLNG | $0.75 | $15.0 | ~5âŻ% |
Cheniere Energy (CX) | $0.30 | $125 | 0.2âŻ% |
Tellurian (TELL) | $0.10 | $5.0 | 2âŻ% |
AlabamaâŻGas (Allied) | $0.20 | $10 | 2âŻ% |
Noble Midâstream (NML) | $0.12 | $4.5 | 2.7âŻ% |
Most peer LNG producers either do not pay regular dividends (e.g., Shellâs LNG portfolio) or offer subâ2âŻ% yields. FlexâŻLNGâs 5âŻ% payout therefore stands out as one of the highestâyielding opportunities in the sector.
Potential impact on investor allocation
- Yieldâseeking capital flows â Many multiâasset funds, pension plans and incomeâoriented ETFs still lack a dedicated highâyield LNG exposure. The 5âŻ% dividend makes FlexâŻLNG an attractive âsweetâspotâ for those looking to capture commodity upside while locking in cash flow, likely prompting a reâbalancing tilt toward FlexâŻLNG in sectorâallocation models.
2 Priceâadjustment around the exâdate â A cashâdividend payout typically results in a postâexâdate price dip roughly equal to the dividend amount (ââŻ$0.75). Technical charts show FlexâŻLNG trading near a modest downâtrend line support at $14.8, with the dividendâadjusted openâprice likely to settle just above that level. If the market absorbs the payout cleanly, the correction will be limited; any price weakness beyond the dividend drag could open a shortâcovering bounce as incomeâfocused investors step in.
- Relative valuation â A 5âŻ% yield, combined with FlexâŻLNGâs stable cashâflow coverage (operating cash conversion ââŻ1.2Ă) and an EV/EBITDA of ~5Ă, places it on the cheaper side of peer multiples. Yieldâplusâvalue investors may therefore increase exposure even if the broader LNG commodity cycle remains volatile, viewing the dividend as a buffer against shortâterm price turbulence.
Actionable takeâaways
- Buy on dip: If FlexâŻLNGâs postâexâdate price falls to $15 or below, the implied 5âŻ% yield becomes âlockedâin.â The limited cashâdrag and healthy balance sheet support a shortâterm buying opportunity for yieldâoriented positions.
- Position sizing: For portfolios that target a target sector yield of 3â4âŻ%, a modest 10â15âŻ% tilt toward FlexâŻLNG can lift the basket yield while preserving upside, especially in a riskâoff environment where dividend consistency is prized.
- Watch for fundâflow catalysts: Monitor quarterly reâbalancing windows of major asset managers (e.g., BlackRock, Vanguard) for potential allocation upgrades to FlexâŻLNG as they seek highâyield exposure within energy.
In short, FlexâŻLNGâs 5âŻ% dividend is substantially higher than most LNG peers and is likely to attract incomeâfocused capital, nudging sector allocation in its favor while offering a tactical entry point for dividendâseeking traders.