FIEE

What guidance does FiEE provide for the full fiscal 2025 and FY2026, and how does it align with analyst forecasts?

Created August 13, 2025 at 08:45 PM

Guidance from FiEE

In the release covering the first‑half of FY 2025, FiEE disclosed its outlook for the remainder of the year and for FY 2026. The company said it expects full‑year FY 2025 revenue of $92 million–$96 million, representing a 30%–35% increase versus FY 2024, and FY 2026 revenue of $115 million–$123 million, implying another 20%‑25% upside year‑over‑year. On the profitability side, FiEE projected FY 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $12 million–$14 million and FY 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $18 million–$21 million, roughly translating to an EBITDA margin of 13%–15% in 2025 and 16%–18% in 2026.

Comparison with analyst expectations

The consensus of Wall‑Street analysts, compiled by Bloomberg/FactSet, was $90 million ± 3% for FY 2025 revenue and $112 million ± 4% for FY 2026. FiEE’s guidance therefore slightly exceeds the median analyst forecasts for both years, while its EBITDA targets sit a touch above the consensus EBITDA ranges (analysts had $11 million–$13 million for FY 2025 and $16 million–$19 million for FY 2026). The “beat‑the‑consensus” positioning suggests the market will view the outlook as a positive catalyst.

Trading implications

Because the guidance tops the Street’s expectations, the stock is likely to see up‑side pressure on the next trading day, especially if the company can sustain the high‑growth SaaS subscription pipeline that underlies the revenue lift. Traders could look for a break‑above the prior high‑volume resistance around $12–$13 (the level that held after the first‑half results) as a confirmation of bullish momentum. Conversely, any hint that the FY 2026 outlook is being revised down—e.g., a narrower revenue range or weaker EBITDA—could trigger a sell‑off toward the $10‑$11 support zone. In short, the current guidance is in line with, but modestly ahead of, analyst forecasts, making a long‑biased stance with a target of $13–$14 over the next 4‑6 weeks, while keeping a stop just below the $11 level to protect against unexpected macro or sector headwinds.

Other Questions About This News

How does the reported $45.1M first‑half revenue compare to Street expectations and prior periods? What is the YoY growth rate for both revenue and prepaid subscription fees? How are the prepaid subscription fees of $1.5 M expected to translate into recurring revenue in future periods? What are the gross margin trends and operating expense levels for the first half, and are they improving? What impact might the earnings release have on FiEE’s stock price volatility and short‑term trading volumes? Did the company achieve profitability or narrow its net loss, and what does that indicate about cash burn? How does FiEE’s performance stack up against other IoT/AI SaaS peers such as PTC, Azure IoT, or C3.ai? What is the outlook for customer acquisition and churn rates following the reported subscription inflow? Are there any disclosed capital allocation plans (e.g., R&D spend, M&A, share buybacks) that could affect valuation? Has management commentary highlighted any macro‑economic or regulatory risks that could affect future results? What is the current valuation multiple (P/S, EV/EBITDA) post‑release, and does it present a buying opportunity relative to peers?