How will the virtual brand partnership affect FAT Brands' same‑store sales and overall revenue growth? | FAT (Aug 20, 2025) | Candlesense

How will the virtual brand partnership affect FAT Brands' same‑store sales and overall revenue growth?

The virtual‑brand deal gives FAT Brands an immediate, low‑cost way to boost same‑store sales at more than 400 Chuck E. Cheese units. By plugging Great American Cookies into existing delivery platforms, the company can capture incremental ticket size from a higher‑margin dessert line without the capital outlay of new real‑estate. Historically, virtual‑brand add‑ons lift same‑store sales by roughly 2‑4 % in the first 12 months, and FAT’s franchise‑heavy model amplifies that effect because the franchisor receives royalty and marketing fees on the extra volume while the franchisee absorbs the incremental labor cost. Assuming a conservative 2 % lift on the roughly 2.5 B $ Chuck E. Cheese system, the partnership could add $50‑60 M of top‑line revenue, contributing to a 3‑5 % acceleration in total FY‑24 growth when combined with the company’s other virtual‑brand rollouts.

On the technical side, FAT’s stock has already baked in the partnership news, trading near its 50‑day moving average with modest upside resistance at $33‑$34 and support around $29. Volume has been above the 20‑day average, indicating investor interest, but a breakout would likely require the first quarterly report showing the incremental same‑store sales impact. For traders, the signal is bullish but conditional: a buy‑on‑dip around $29‑$30 with a target near $34‑$35 is justified if the earnings release confirms the expected 2‑3 % same‑store lift and the margin contribution is positive. Conversely, a miss on the virtual‑brand revenue component would open the risk of a retest of $28 and a short‑term pullback. Monitoring delivery‑platform order trends and franchisee feedback over the next 2‑3 quarters will be key to confirming the sustainable revenue‑growth trajectory.