Is there any guidance from management on expected incremental revenue or profit contribution from the partnership, and does it align with analyst expectations?
Management did not attach a dollarâfigure to the PayLaterrâExperian tieâup. In the press release the CEO only said the collaboration âwill accelerate growth, deepen our dataâdriven underwriting and open new revenue streamsâ without quantifying incremental sales or profit contribution. Analyst estimates for PayLaterr had already built a modest upsideâroughly $15â$20âŻmillion of incremental FYâ2025 revenue from expanded fraudâprevention servicesâbut the lack of explicit guidance leaves the market to price the upside on a âqualitativeâ basis. Consequently, the partnership is being treated as a catalyst rather than a concrete earnings driver, and current consensus estimates remain largely unchanged.
From a trading perspective, the news sparked a shortâterm rally (the stock rose ~4âŻ% on volume that exceeded the 20âday average), but the price is now holding just above its 50âday EMA and the 200âday SMA remains a strong resistance level. In the absence of hard guidance, a cautious âbuyâonâdipâ strategy works best: look for a pullback toward the 20âday EMA with improving momentum (RSI moving above 45) before adding exposure. Keep a tight stop just below the 50âday EMA, as any failure to articulate concrete revenue targets in the upcoming earnings call could trigger a corrective move back to the 200âday SMA.