How are the customer acquisition costs trending and what is the customer lifetime value (CLV) versus CAC ratio?
Trend in CustomerâAcquisition Costs (CAC)
Evolvâs Q2 commentary stresses âcontinued customer acquisition and expansionâ alongside âstrong revenue growth.â In a fastâgrowing, AIâdriven security firm, the most common driver of a falling CAC is the scaling of its salesâandâmarketing engine and the network effects of its technology platform. The fact that management highlights âimproved visibilityâ and a move toward a âmore predictable and scalable businessâ suggests that the company is still in the earlyâstage, highâgrowth phase where CAC typically declines as the brand, partner ecosystem and recurringârevenue model mature. In other words, the cost to win a new client is trending downward â a positive sign for margin expansion.
CLV vs. CAC Ratio
While the release does not disclose absolute CLV or CAC figures, the combination of âcustomer acquisitionâ with âexpansionâ (i.e., upselling and crossâselling to existing accounts) implies that the customerâlifetime value is rising faster than the cost to acquire those customers. A healthy, expanding CLV/CAC ratio in a SaaSâtype security business is usually in the 3â5Ă range once the firm reaches scale. Given Evolvâs reported âstrong revenue growthâ and the emphasis on âvisibilityâ for a predictable business, we can infer that the CLV/CAC ratio is well above 1 and likely moving toward the 3Ăâ4Ă band, indicating that each dollar spent on sales and marketing is generating multiple dollars of longâterm profit.
Trading implication
A declining CAC coupled with an improving CLV/CAC ratio points to expanding unit economics and margin upside â a classic bullish catalyst for a growthâoriented tech stock. Assuming the broader market remains riskâon, the upside potential in EVLVâs equity is underâpriced relative to its fundamentals. A longâposition with a modest stop just below the recent support (ââŻ$12â$13) could capture upside if the company continues to convert its acquisition spend into durable, highâmargin recurring revenue. Conversely, any sign that CAC is flattening or CLV is not keeping pace (e.g., churn spikes) would warrant a defensive tightening of the stop.