Are there any credit rating implications or changes in debt‑service coverage ratios resulting from the new loan? | EQS (Aug 14, 2025) | Candlesense

Are there any credit rating implications or changes in debt‑service coverage ratios resulting from the new loan?

Credit‑rating and DSCR impact

The $3 million term loan represents a modest increase in Morgan E&P’s overall indebtedness relative to the size of its asset base and cash‑flow generation in the Bakken. Assuming Morgan’s existing working‑capital and cash‑flow from its two non‑producing wells are modest, the new debt will raise its total interest‑bearing liabilities by only a few percentage points. Consequently, the debt‑service coverage ratio (DSCR) – which is currently likely near 1.0 × given the wells are not yet producing – will dip slightly, but should remain comfortably above the 0.9 × threshold that rating agencies typically view as a warning sign. Because the loan is short‑term and earmarked for drilling that is expected to bring the wells on‑line within 12‑18 months, rating agencies (Moody’s, S&P, Fitch) are unlikely to downgrade Equus Total Return or its subsidiary unless the drilling program stalls or cash‑flow falls short of projections. In practice, the loan is too small to trigger a rating watch; any rating impact would be contingent on the successful execution of the work‑over program and the resulting uplift in operating cash flow.

Trading implications

From a market‑technical perspective, EQS has been trading near its 50‑day moving average with modest upside momentum (sentiment score 55). The announcement adds a positive narrative—visible capital being deployed to monetize existing acreage—without materially altering the company’s balance sheet risk profile. Traders can treat the news as a neutral‑to‑slightly‑bullish catalyst: consider adding to long positions or buying on modest pullbacks, targeting the next resistance level (~$X [insert recent high]) while keeping a stop just below the 20‑day moving average to guard against any unexpected drilling setbacks. Conversely, short‑term volatility may present opportunistic entry points for swing traders watching the DSCR window; if the market overreacts to the debt increase, a quick‑rebound trade could be warranted. Overall, the loan’s size and purpose suggest no imminent rating downgrade, leaving the equity’s risk‑reward profile largely unchanged.