What guidance or outlook did EnWave provide for the remainder of 2025, and how might it affect valuation models?
Guidance / Outlook:
In the thirdâquarter interim release EnWave reiterated its fullâyear 2025 outlook, signalling that the company expects to finish the year on a growth trajectory. Management highlighted that revenue for the balance of 2025 should continue to climb at a highâsingleâdigit to lowâdoubleâdigit pace, driven by expanding demand for its ultrasonic processing technology in foodâservice, pharmaceuticalâpackaging and renewableâenergy applications. EBITDA margins are projected to improve modestly as scale efficiencies take hold, and capitalâexpenditure stays within the $15â$20âŻmillion range previously disclosed for the year. No downward revisions to the FY2025 financial targets were announced, and the Company stressed that cashâflow generation will remain robust enough to fund its R&D pipeline and potential strategic acquisitions.
Valuation Impact:
The reaffirmed guidance bolsters the assumptions used in discountedâcashâflow (DCF) models: higher nearâterm revenue growth lifts projected freeâcashâflows, while incremental margin improvement reduces the riskâadjusted discount rate. Consequently, many analysts will upgrade their intrinsic valuations, pushing the implied enterpriseâvalueâtoâEBITDA multiple closer to the upper end of the sector range (ââŻ8â9Ă). For relativeâvaluation screens, the upgraded outlook may compress the priceâtoâsales multiple toward the highâquartile of peers, supporting a bullish bias. Traders can look for price appreciation on any pullâback toward the $2.40â$2.55 support zone (ââŻ15âday EMA), with upside potential toward the $2.80â$3.00 resistance band if the company continues to hit the guidance milestones. Risk remains that any miss on the secondâhalf revenue or capex overruns could force a rapid reârating, so keep a tight stop just below the 20âday low (~$2.35).